Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 80%
$268.42
$26.42
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 99¢ | $101.97 | $85.96 | -$16.01 | 59% 14095-9766 (23861) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 72.7¢ | $68.2 | $93.85 | +$25.65 | 52% 5529-5134 (10663) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97.8¢ | $26.4 | $27 | +$0.6 | 61% 13544-8521 (22065) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $14.2 | $20 | +$5.8 | 77% 40726-12316 (53042) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78.5¢ | $10.79 | $13.75 | +$2.96 | 75% 22399-7453 (29852) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 48.6¢ | $7.89 | $16.23 | +$8.34 | 67% 22683-11363 (34046) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $6.03 | $10 | +$3.97 | 68% 40782-18893 (59675) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.6¢ | $3.49 | — | -$3.49 | 58% 15969-11565 (27534) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $1.85 | $1.63 | -$0.23 | 58% 6421-4582 (11003) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $1.18 | — | -$1.18 | 54% 9369-7985 (17354) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 82% 25320-5636 (30956) |
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$101.97
Value
$85.96
PnL
-$16.01
Record
59%
14095-9766 (23861)
Invested
$68.2
Value
$93.85
PnL
+$25.65
Record
52%
5529-5134 (10663)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$27
PnL
+$0.6
Record
61%
13544-8521 (22065)
Invested
$14.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.8
Record
77%
40726-12316 (53042)
Invested
$10.79
Value
$13.75
PnL
+$2.96
Record
75%
22399-7453 (29852)
Invested
$7.89
Value
$16.23
PnL
+$8.34
Record
67%
22683-11363 (34046)
Invested
$6.03
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.97
Record
68%
40782-18893 (59675)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.49
Value
—
PnL
-$3.49
Record
58%
15969-11565 (27534)
Invested
$1.85
Value
$1.63
PnL
-$0.23
Record
58%
6421-4582 (11003)
Invested
$1.18
Value
—
PnL
-$1.18
Record
54%
9369-7985 (17354)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
82%
25320-5636 (30956)
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