Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$719.34
-$4.75
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.1¢ | $290.13 | $295.78 | +$5.65 | 93% 21990-1701 (23691) |
DE devonpollCTR | Downavg 36¢ | $159.2 | — | -$151.39 | 51% 19496-18692 (38188) |
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 42.2¢ | $111.34 | $264 | +$152.66 | 54% 14272-12057 (26329) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $93.74 | $88 | -$5.74 | 51% 6233-5908 (12141) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 73¢ | $64.22 | $88 | +$23.78 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 34.7¢ | $29.52 | — | -$29.52 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $54.15 | $41.01 | -$8.67 | 65% 20299-11074 (31373) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $23.3 | $30.55 | +$7.25 | 56% 16881-13534 (30415) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.2¢ | $10.14 | — | -$10.14 | 54% 15047-12962 (28009) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 66% 110995-57210 (168205) |
Invested
$290.13
Value
$295.78
PnL
+$5.65
Record
93%
21990-1701 (23691)
Invested
$159.2
Value
—
PnL
-$151.39
Record
51%
19496-18692 (38188)
Invested
$111.34
Value
$264
PnL
+$152.66
Record
54%
14272-12057 (26329)
Invested
$93.74
Value
$88
PnL
-$5.74
Record
51%
6233-5908 (12141)
Both legs:
Invested
$54.15
Value
$41.01
PnL
-$8.67
Record
65%
20299-11074 (31373)
Invested
$23.3
Value
$30.55
PnL
+$7.25
Record
56%
16881-13534 (30415)
Invested
$10.14
Value
—
PnL
-$10.14
Record
54%
15047-12962 (28009)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
66%
110995-57210 (168205)
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