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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$607.12

Combined PnL

-$19.02

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$441.73

Total Shares442

Combined PnL+$46.62

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares171

Combined PnL-$65.64

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.8¢	$321.37	$325.3	+$3.93	93% 21903-1696 (23599)
TM tmsd-testARB<$100	Upavg 81¢	$114.27	$94.99	-$19.28	54% 14267-12047 (26314)
└ Down leg	Downavg 32.4¢	$37.33	—	-$37.33
└ Up leg	Upavg 81¢	$76.95	$94.99	+$18.05
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Downavg 28.3¢	$47.91	—	-$47.91	54% 15026-12934 (27960)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 55.9¢	$80.47	$70.4	-$10.07	51% 6206-5881 (12087)
└ Down leg	Downavg 55.9¢	$43.27	—	-$43.27
└ Up leg	Upavg 52.8¢	$37.2	$70.4	+$33.2
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 70.7¢	$35.63	$50.39	+$14.76	58% 59659-43523 (103182)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 71¢	$33.04	$46.54	+$13.5	56% 57185-44208 (101393)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 26¢	$5.07	$19.5	+$14.43	64% 39390-22458 (61848)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 44.6¢	$7.25	—	-$7.25	55% 16665-13373 (30038)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 74¢	$8.88	—	-$8.88	59% 37019-26207 (63226)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 26¢	$1.6	—	-$1.6	52% 88053-82440 (170493)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 57.3¢	—	—	+$0	51% 19436-18664 (38100)

Invested

$321.37

Value

$325.3

PnL

+$3.93

Record

93%

21903-1696 (23599)

tmsd-testARB<$100

Invested

$114.27

Value

$94.99

PnL

-$19.28

Record

54%

14267-12047 (26314)

Both legs:

Down$37.3332.4¢-$37.33

Up$76.9581¢+$18.05

aswfadq1555CTR<$100

Invested

$47.91

Value

—

PnL

-$47.91

Record

54%

15026-12934 (27960)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$80.47

Value

$70.4

PnL

-$10.07

Record

51%

6206-5881 (12087)

Both legs:

Down$43.2755.9¢-$43.27

Up$37.252.8¢+$33.2

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$35.63

Value

$50.39

PnL

+$14.76

Record

58%

59659-43523 (103182)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$33.04

Value

$46.54

PnL

+$13.5

Record

56%

57185-44208 (101393)

Invested

$5.07

Value

$19.5

PnL

+$14.43

Record

64%

39390-22458 (61848)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$7.25

Value

—

PnL

-$7.25

Record

55%

16665-13373 (30038)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$8.88

Value

—

PnL

-$8.88

Record

59%

37019-26207 (63226)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.6

Value

—

PnL

-$1.6

Record

52%

88053-82440 (170493)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19436-18664 (38100)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x44672ae2...9cf6cb

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793060100

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $325.3

tmsd-test

Arbitrage — excluded

aswfadq1555

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $50.39

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $46.54

ohioism

Up — $19.5

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

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