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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$169.32

Combined PnL

-$39.49

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$100.82

Total Shares101

Combined PnL+$23.68

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares125

Combined PnL-$63.17

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 64¢	$65.67	$68.5	+$2.83	51% 6206-5881 (12087)
└ Up leg	Upavg 64¢	$43.86	$68.5	+$24.64
└ Down leg	Downavg 37.1¢	$21.81	—	-$21.81
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 77.6¢	$38.12	$45.22	+$7.11	65% 20212-11029 (31241)
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100	Downavg 33.9¢	$20.15	—	-$20.15	54% 14267-12047 (26314)
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Downavg 38.8¢	$19.74	—	-$19.74	54% 15026-12934 (27960)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 54¢	$16.35	—	-$16.35	55% 16665-13373 (30038)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 52.8¢	$10.73	$20.34	+$9.61	51% 19436-18664 (38100)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 90¢	$11.54	$12.82	+$1.28	63% 49772-29482 (79254)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 96.8¢	$11.69	$12.07	+$0.38	52% 88053-82440 (170493)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 47¢	$4.7	$10	+$5.3	59% 37019-26207 (63226)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 53¢	$4.9	—	-$4.9	66% 110218-56576 (166794)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.03	—	-$2.03	58% 50129-36286 (86415)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$0.37	$0.37	+$0	93% 21903-1696 (23599)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$65.67

Value

$68.5

PnL

+$2.83

Record

51%

6206-5881 (12087)

Both legs:

Up$43.8664¢+$24.64

Down$21.8137.1¢-$21.81

Invested

$38.12

Value

$45.22

PnL

+$7.11

Record

65%

20212-11029 (31241)

tmsd-testCTR<$100

Invested

$20.15

Value

—

PnL

-$20.15

Record

54%

14267-12047 (26314)

aswfadq1555CTR<$100

Invested

$19.74

Value

—

PnL

-$19.74

Record

54%

15026-12934 (27960)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$16.35

Value

—

PnL

-$16.35

Record

55%

16665-13373 (30038)

Invested

$10.73

Value

$20.34

PnL

+$9.61

Record

51%

19436-18664 (38100)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$11.54

Value

$12.82

PnL

+$1.28

Record

63%

49772-29482 (79254)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$11.69

Value

$12.07

PnL

+$0.38

Record

52%

88053-82440 (170493)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$4.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.3

Record

59%

37019-26207 (63226)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$4.9

Value

—

PnL

-$4.9

Record

66%

110218-56576 (166794)

Invested

$2.03

Value

—

PnL

-$2.03

Record

58%

50129-36286 (86415)

Invested

$0.37

Value

$0.37

PnL

+$0

Record

93%

21903-1696 (23599)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x7a729502...2ef82c

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793059200

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

aaa221

Up — $45.22

tmsd-test

Down — $0

aswfadq1555

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

devonpoll

Up — $20.34

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $12.82

dvasdkasodk

Up — $12.07

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $10

antsaslyku

Down — $0

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