Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 43%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$753.09

Combined PnL

$426.6

Down

3 of 7 top traders (43%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$535.71

Total Shares536

Combined PnL+$503.3

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares116

Combined PnL-$76.7

Down — 43%Up — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TM tmsd-test	Downavg 29.3¢	$195.21	$457.71	+$457.44	54% 14261-12040 (26301)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Upavg 56.1¢	$58.05	$124.99	+$66.94	54% 15016-12924 (27940)
└ Down leg	Downavg 19.5¢	$24.4	$124.99	+$100.59
└ Up leg	Upavg 56.1¢	$33.65	—	-$33.65
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 69¢	$93.99	$92.39	-$1.6	51% 6161-5827 (11988)
└ Up leg	Upavg 69¢	$63.36	—	-$63.36
└ Down leg	Downavg 33.1¢	$30.63	$92.39	+$61.76
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 46¢	$28.06	$61	+$32.94	59% 36938-26155 (63093)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 62¢	$31.56	—	-$31.56	58% 59593-43487 (103080)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 80.7¢	$28.65	—	-$28.65	55% 16610-13320 (29930)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 81.7¢	$14.79	—	-$14.79	52% 87718-82041 (169759)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 58.5¢	$32.02	—	-$1.69	65% 20113-10941 (31054)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 24¢	$4.08	$17	+$12.92	56% 57126-44167 (101293)