Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$841.54
-$249.21
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $464.31 | $469 | +$4.69 | 93% 21661-1689 (23350) |
TM tmsd-testARB<$100 | Upavg 45.2¢ | $313.11 | $138.5 | -$174.61 | 54% 14257-12034 (26291) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 72.7¢ | $100.63 | $138.5 | +$37.88 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45.2¢ | $212.48 | — | -$212.48 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 52.7¢ | $142.03 | $136.68 | -$5.35 | 51% 6090-5751 (11841) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Upavg 62.6¢ | $205.74 | — | -$205.74 | 54% 14989-12884 (27873) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $63.52 | $31.87 | -$19.06 | 65% 19942-10858 (30800) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $38 | $50 | +$12 | 58% 11865-8668 (20533) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $29 | — | -$29 | 67% 22354-11173 (33527) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94.3¢ | $14.61 | $15.5 | +$0.89 | 63% 47908-28533 (76441) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.11 | — | -$4.11 | 58% 49354-35490 (84844) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 51% 19223-18465 (37688) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $2.52 | — | -$2.52 | 52% 87230-81412 (168642) |
Invested
$464.31
Value
$469
PnL
+$4.69
Record
93%
21661-1689 (23350)
Invested
$313.11
Value
$138.5
PnL
-$174.61
Record
54%
14257-12034 (26291)
Both legs:
Invested
$142.03
Value
$136.68
PnL
-$5.35
Record
51%
6090-5751 (11841)
Invested
$205.74
Value
—
PnL
-$205.74
Record
54%
14989-12884 (27873)
Invested
$63.52
Value
$31.87
PnL
-$19.06
Record
65%
19942-10858 (30800)
Invested
$38
Value
$50
PnL
+$12
Record
58%
11865-8668 (20533)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$29
Value
—
PnL
-$29
Record
67%
22354-11173 (33527)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.61
Value
$15.5
PnL
+$0.89
Record
63%
47908-28533 (76441)
Invested
$4.11
Value
—
PnL
-$4.11
Record
58%
49354-35490 (84844)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
51%
19223-18465 (37688)
Invested
$2.52
Value
—
PnL
-$2.52
Record
52%
87230-81412 (168642)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $469
tmsd-test
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Down — $136.68
aswfadq1555
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $31.87
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $50
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $15.5
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0