Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 29%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$525.13

Combined PnL

-$77.28

Down

2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down2 traders

Total Value$429.4

Total Shares429

Combined PnL+$4.86

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares215

Combined PnL-$82.15

Down — 25%Up — 75%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$410.98	$415.13	+$4.15	93% 21625-1687 (23312)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 71¢	$97.8	$95.73	-$2.07	51% 6071-5737 (11808)
└ Down leg	Downavg 71¢	$67.99	$95.73	+$27.74
└ Up leg	Upavg 32.1¢	$29.81	—	-$29.81
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Upavg 34.8¢	$41.84	—	-$41.84	54% 14983-12881 (27864)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 19.3¢	$15.43	—	-$15.43	65% 19899-10832 (30731)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Downavg 95¢	$13.56	$14.27	+$0.71	63% 47883-28520 (76403)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$10.2	—	-$10.2	58% 11859-8657 (20516)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$9.78	—	-$9.78	59% 36738-26033 (62771)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$4.9	—	-$4.9	58% 49342-35483 (84825)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19212-18458 (37670)