Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 86%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$642.1

Combined PnL

$50.68

Down

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down6 traders

Total Value$512.74

Total Shares513

Combined PnL+$62.83

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares23

Combined PnL-$12.15

Down — 86%Up — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$214.77	$216.94	+$2.17	93% 21574-1680 (23254)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Downavg 69.7¢	$138.88	$129.36	-$9.52	54% 7644-6416 (14060)
└ Down leg	Downavg 69.7¢	$90.19	$129.36	+$39.17
└ Up leg	Upavg 35.6¢	$48.69	—	-$48.69
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 80.6¢	$113.37	$140.72	+$27.35	57% 64885-49078 (113963)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 74.7¢	$60.4	$64.25	+$3.85	51% 6044-5707 (11751)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Downavg 95.6¢	$38.41	$40.18	+$1.77	63% 47830-28490 (76320)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 68.5¢	$43.5	$33.77	+$19.42	65% 19843-10779 (30622)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$12.15	—	-$12.15	58% 11844-8645 (20489)
BO bosona<$100	Downavg 51¢	$8.61	$16.88	+$8.27	56% 47363-37932 (85295)