Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 63%
1 arb excluded
$555.26
$2.77
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 81.2¢ | $254.04 | $270.02 | +$15.97 | 57% 64862-49061 (113923) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $137.04 | $136.01 | -$1.03 | 51% 6022-5698 (11720) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Downavg 78.9¢ | $97.17 | $77.29 | -$19.88 | 54% 7333-6142 (13475) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 78.9¢ | $60.94 | $77.29 | +$16.35 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 18.5¢ | $36.22 | — | -$36.22 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 83.8¢ | $48.87 | $56.55 | +$7.68 | 65% 19783-10760 (30543) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $10.4 | — | -$10.4 | 66% 21990-11154 (33144) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $9.05 | $10.4 | +$1.35 | 52% 86873-81238 (168111) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $5.51 | — | -$5.51 | 64% 39156-22299 (61455) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $7.1 | — | -$7.1 | 58% 49097-35254 (84351) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $3.2 | $5 | +$1.8 | 56% 16419-13148 (29567) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 17116-15936 (33052) |
Invested
$254.04
Value
$270.02
PnL
+$15.97
Record
57%
64862-49061 (113923)
Invested
$137.04
Value
$136.01
PnL
-$1.03
Record
51%
6022-5698 (11720)
Invested
$97.17
Value
$77.29
PnL
-$19.88
Record
54%
7333-6142 (13475)
Both legs:
Invested
$48.87
Value
$56.55
PnL
+$7.68
Record
65%
19783-10760 (30543)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10.4
Value
—
PnL
-$10.4
Record
66%
21990-11154 (33144)
Invested
$9.05
Value
$10.4
PnL
+$1.35
Record
52%
86873-81238 (168111)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.51
Value
—
PnL
-$5.51
Record
64%
39156-22299 (61455)
Invested
$7.1
Value
—
PnL
-$7.1
Record
58%
49097-35254 (84351)
Invested
$3.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.8
Record
56%
16419-13148 (29567)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
17116-15936 (33052)
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