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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$0.35
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares14
Combined PnL-$0.35
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 54% 7644-6416 (14060) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 84% 54207-10055 (64262) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 49202-35356 (84558) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 6044-5707 (11751) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 19843-10779 (30622) |
AS
aswfadq1555CTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
54%
7644-6416 (14060)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
54207-10055 (64262)
PB
PBot-6<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
49202-35356 (84558)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
6044-5707 (11751)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
19843-10779 (30622)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5e4699ec...59a36e
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793016000