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DownDownDownUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$270.19
Combined PnL
$24.16
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$270.19
Total Shares270
Combined PnL+$35.78
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares61
Combined PnL-$11.62
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 85.9¢ | $137.04 | $158.27 | +$21.23 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 86.8¢ | $64.9 | $67.52 | +$2.62 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $27.65 | $39.17 | +$11.52 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 10.2¢ | $11.62 | — | -$11.62 | 54% 7032-5938 (12970) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $4.8 | $5.22 | +$0.42 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$137.04
Value
$158.27
PnL
+$21.23
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$64.9
Value
$67.52
PnL
+$2.62
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$27.65
Value
$39.17
PnL
+$11.52
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
AS
aswfadq1555CTR<$100Invested
$11.62
Value
—
PnL
-$11.62
Record
54%
7032-5938 (12970)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$5.22
PnL
+$0.42
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2cfeec0b...f9c4f5
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793001600