Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 60%
1 arb excluded
$286.97
-$81.2
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $156.63 | $128.66 | -$27.98 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 30.6¢ | $39.35 | $128.66 | +$89.31 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 63¢ | $117.28 | — | -$117.28 | |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 68.3¢ | $94.65 | — | -$94.65 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 30.2¢ | $21.92 | $65.18 | +$43.25 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 72.8¢ | $30.08 | $38.95 | +$9.78 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $28.57 | — | -$28.57 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $26.38 | $20 | -$1.38 | 84% 31418-5931 (37349) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 65.4¢ | $16.45 | $15.29 | -$1.16 | 56% 15511-12385 (27896) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $12.77 | $12.9 | +$0.13 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 59% 44281-30660 (74941) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $5.7 | $6 | +$0.3 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 54% 7032-5938 (12970) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
Invested
$156.63
Value
$128.66
PnL
-$27.98
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Both legs:
Invested
$94.65
Value
—
PnL
-$94.65
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$21.92
Value
$65.18
PnL
+$43.25
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$30.08
Value
$38.95
PnL
+$9.78
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$28.57
Value
—
PnL
-$28.57
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$26.38
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.38
Record
84%
31418-5931 (37349)
Invested
$16.45
Value
$15.29
PnL
-$1.16
Record
56%
15511-12385 (27896)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.77
Value
$12.9
PnL
+$0.13
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
59%
44281-30660 (74941)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.3
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
54%
7032-5938 (12970)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $65.18
aaa221
Down — $38.95
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $20
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $15.29
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $12.9
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
Down — $6