Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 67%
$128.68
-$42.9
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 57.2¢ | $40.06 | $48.12 | +$8.06 | 83% 28210-5788 (33998) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.2¢ | $44.5 | — | -$44.5 | 56% 14956-11913 (26869) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 70.7¢ | $34.01 | $34.1 | +$0.09 | 52% 5732-5342 (11074) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 92.4¢ | $24.74 | $26.78 | +$2.04 | 62% 40698-24908 (65606) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81.1¢ | $11.4 | $6.99 | +$0.56 | 67% 13565-6732 (20297) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.3¢ | $10.87 | — | -$10.87 | 54% 5965-5079 (11044) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $5.89 | $5 | -$0.89 | 63% 19117-11233 (30350) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $4.69 | $7.69 | +$3 | 53% 7303-6492 (13795) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 0.9¢ | $0.38 | — | -$0.38 | 83% 60158-11892 (72050) |
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$40.06
Value
$48.12
PnL
+$8.06
Record
83%
28210-5788 (33998)
Invested
$44.5
Value
—
PnL
-$44.5
Record
56%
14956-11913 (26869)
Invested
$34.01
Value
$34.1
PnL
+$0.09
Record
52%
5732-5342 (11074)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$24.74
Value
$26.78
PnL
+$2.04
Record
62%
40698-24908 (65606)
Invested
$11.4
Value
$6.99
PnL
+$0.56
Record
67%
13565-6732 (20297)
Invested
$10.87
Value
—
PnL
-$10.87
Record
54%
5965-5079 (11044)
Invested
$5.89
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.89
Record
63%
19117-11233 (30350)
Invested
$4.69
Value
$7.69
PnL
+$3
Record
53%
7303-6492 (13795)
Invested
$0.38
Value
—
PnL
-$0.38
Record
83%
60158-11892 (72050)
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