Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 57%
$90.73
-$9.3
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 97.3¢ | $35.5 | $36.48 | +$0.98 | 62% 40571-24869 (65440) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 64.5¢ | $28.82 | $26.22 | -$2.59 | 52% 5647-5267 (10914) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 51.9¢ | $29.3 | $25 | +$5.5 | 83% 27963-5718 (33681) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 56% 14881-11866 (26747) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.6¢ | $12.48 | — | -$5.02 | 67% 13368-6654 (20022) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 54% 5945-5063 (11008) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $3 | $3.03 | +$0.03 | 93% 20288-1627 (21915) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15985-14804 (30789) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$35.5
Value
$36.48
PnL
+$0.98
Record
62%
40571-24869 (65440)
Invested
$28.82
Value
$26.22
PnL
-$2.59
Record
52%
5647-5267 (10914)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$29.3
Value
$25
PnL
+$5.5
Record
83%
27963-5718 (33681)
Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
56%
14881-11866 (26747)
Invested
$12.48
Value
—
PnL
-$5.02
Record
67%
13368-6654 (20022)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
54%
5945-5063 (11008)
Invested
$3
Value
$3.03
PnL
+$0.03
Record
93%
20288-1627 (21915)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15985-14804 (30789)
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