Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 90%
$291.74
-$10.43
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 92¢ | $145.99 | $99.81 | -$31.2 | 82% 25791-5637 (31428) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $52.47 | $53 | +$0.53 | 93% 20154-1617 (21771) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 69.8¢ | $33.35 | $47.8 | +$14.45 | 56% 14781-11800 (26581) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.1¢ | $26.33 | $26.84 | +$0.51 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.8¢ | $22.82 | $22.5 | -$0.32 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $16.6 | $20 | +$3.4 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $29.16 | $9.78 | +$3.98 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $6.81 | $5 | -$1.81 | 53% 5381-4744 (10125) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 81% 51120-11727 (62847) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$145.99
Value
$99.81
PnL
-$31.2
Record
82%
25791-5637 (31428)
Invested
$52.47
Value
$53
PnL
+$0.53
Record
93%
20154-1617 (21771)
Invested
$33.35
Value
$47.8
PnL
+$14.45
Record
56%
14781-11800 (26581)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$26.33
Value
$26.84
PnL
+$0.51
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
Invested
$22.82
Value
$22.5
PnL
-$0.32
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
Invested
$16.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.4
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
Invested
$29.16
Value
$9.78
PnL
+$3.98
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
Invested
$6.81
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.81
Record
53%
5381-4744 (10125)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
81%
51120-11727 (62847)
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