Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 50%
$168.87
-$15.11
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 60.8¢ | $67.31 | $68.22 | +$0.91 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 80.4¢ | $50.05 | $62.28 | +$12.23 | 56% 14781-11800 (26581) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $15.6 | $20 | +$4.4 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $18.01 | $18.38 | +$0.37 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.9¢ | $12.45 | — | -$12.45 | 82% 25791-5637 (31428) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.8¢ | $8.2 | — | -$8.2 | 53% 7234-6436 (13670) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.2¢ | $18.39 | — | -$11.23 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
Invested
$67.31
Value
$68.22
PnL
+$0.91
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
Invested
$50.05
Value
$62.28
PnL
+$12.23
Record
56%
14781-11800 (26581)
Invested
$15.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.4
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$18.01
Value
$18.38
PnL
+$0.37
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$12.45
Value
—
PnL
-$12.45
Record
82%
25791-5637 (31428)
Invested
$8.2
Value
—
PnL
-$8.2
Record
53%
7234-6436 (13670)
Invested
$18.39
Value
—
PnL
-$11.23
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
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