Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 75%
$582.74
$68.27
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $179.76 | $221.1 | +$41.34 | 68% 33599-15456 (49055) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 55.1¢ | $147.21 | $186.19 | +$38.97 | 86% 39944-6718 (46662) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $72.93 | $68.55 | -$4.38 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 84.7¢ | $21.63 | $25.53 | +$3.9 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $16.8 | $35 | +$18.2 | 53% 7234-6436 (13670) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $19.5 | $30 | +$10.5 | 64% 12116-6779 (18895) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.5¢ | $14.43 | — | -$14.43 | 53% 5381-4744 (10125) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $10.43 | — | -$10.43 | 82% 25791-5637 (31428) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 93% 20154-1617 (21771) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $3.28 | $4.37 | +$1.09 | 75% 23276-7607 (30883) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 38.3¢ | $31.55 | — | -$16.62 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 70% 19712-8281 (27993) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15316-14141 (29457) |
Invested
$179.76
Value
$221.1
PnL
+$41.34
Record
68%
33599-15456 (49055)
Invested
$147.21
Value
$186.19
PnL
+$38.97
Record
86%
39944-6718 (46662)
Invested
$72.93
Value
$68.55
PnL
-$4.38
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$21.63
Value
$25.53
PnL
+$3.9
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$35
PnL
+$18.2
Record
53%
7234-6436 (13670)
Invested
$19.5
Value
$30
PnL
+$10.5
Record
64%
12116-6779 (18895)
Invested
$14.43
Value
—
PnL
-$14.43
Record
53%
5381-4744 (10125)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$10.43
Value
—
PnL
-$10.43
Record
82%
25791-5637 (31428)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
93%
20154-1617 (21771)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.28
Value
$4.37
PnL
+$1.09
Record
75%
23276-7607 (30883)
Invested
$31.55
Value
—
PnL
-$16.62
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
70%
19712-8281 (27993)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15316-14141 (29457)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down — $221.1
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $186.19
ply-pm2
Down — $68.55
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $25.53
tmsd-test
Down — $35
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $30
aswfadq1555
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
Down — $6
hoodquant
Down — $6