Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?

5 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 97¢ · $2K held · ends Oct 27

Yes3¢No97¢Ends Tue, Oct 27, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Consensus Traders

No 100%

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

$2.18

Smart Money Entry

96.9¢ → 96.6¢

+0% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralNo at 97%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

5 of 5 top traders (100%)2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes3%

No97%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders

Total Value$2.2K

Total Shares2,280

Combined PnL+$2.18

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VeryLucky888	Noavg 96.9¢	$1.2K	$1.0K	+$1.24	58% 34591-25199 (59790)
0F 0F62	Noavg 96.7¢	$839.36	$841.09	+$1.74	52% 1987-1815 (3802)
SN SnakeBall	Noavg 96.9¢	$232.56	$232.56	+$0	50% 9207-9127 (18334)
KO korda77<$100	Noavg 98¢	$88.2	$87.21	-$0.99	52% 2768-2507 (5275)
CA Cannae<$100	Noavg 96.2¢	$26.33	$26.52	+$0.19	53% 14291-12537 (26828)

VeryLucky888

Invested

$1,158.19

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$1.24

Record

58%

34591-25199 (59790)

0F62

Invested

$839.36

Value

$841.09

PnL

+$1.74

Record

52%

1987-1815 (3802)

SnakeBall

Invested

$232.56

Value

$232.56

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9207-9127 (18334)

korda77<$100

Invested

$88.2

Value

$87.21

PnL

-$0.99

Record

52%

2768-2507 (5275)

Cannae<$100

Invested

$26.33

Value

$26.52

PnL

+$0.19

Record

53%

14291-12537 (26828)

Research grade

NeutralNo at 97%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

5 of 5 top traders (100%)2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance97.7%

96.6¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$2.34

Max Loss

-$100.00

102.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.