Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Team Spirit — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Team Spirit

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Team Spirit. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Team Spirit. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Team Spirit 57%

5 arb excluded

Total Value

$256.4K

Combined PnL

$-4.6K

Smart Money Signal

Team Spirit

39 of 65 top traders (60%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed26 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Team Spirit100%

PARIVISION0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Team Spirit39 traders

Total Value$247.5K

Total Shares247,466

Combined PnL+$117.0K

PARIVISION26 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares226,148

Combined PnL$-121.6K

Team Spirit — 60%PARIVISION — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RO Rock.San	Team Spiritavg 99.9¢	$27.5K	$27.5K	+$27.54	89% 11081-1394 (12475)
UN UNIVERSEMVPCTR	PARIVISIONavg 65.2¢	$54.6K	—	$-18.8K	70% 49-21 (70)
CoinTrick	Team Spiritavg 99.9¢	$19.9K	$19.9K	+$19.94	98% 2882-69 (2951)
Medo3D	Team Spiritavg 33.9¢	$10.0K	$17.5K	+$7.5K	38% 147-237 (384)
GE GeorgeRe	Team Spiritavg 38.7¢	$9.3K	$19.1K	+$11.2K	54% 1057-916 (1973)
Skritopoolniy	Team Spiritavg 36.8¢	$9.3K	$15.2K	$-4.9K	51% 578-559 (1137)
relativesignificance	Team Spiritavg 37.3¢	$22.2K	$37.6K	+$24.0K	58% 77-55 (132)
CyberScore.liveCTR	PARIVISIONavg 45.4¢	$18.6K	—	$-18.6K	46% 385-455 (840)
0X 0xe2D0f0580716E47979206dcFF5220695e7967BbF-1763023416239	Team Spiritavg 37.6¢	$10.7K	$28.5K	+$17.8K	41% 269-395 (664)
YA yadens	Team Spiritavg 76¢	$16.4K	$10.9K	$-1.8K	70% 137-60 (197)
0X 0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620CTR	PARIVISIONavg 74.6¢	$10.8K	—	$-10.2K	55% 30-25 (55)
0xheavy888CTR	PARIVISIONavg 33.6¢	$7.2K	—	$-7.2K	56% 6695-5367 (12062)
PA para-VisionCTR	PARIVISIONavg 62¢	$7.1K	—	$-7.1K	57% 191-147 (338)
ST StakesForFun	Team Spiritavg 82.7¢	$10.5K	$6.6K	+$550.77	62% 353-212 (565)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR	PARIVISIONavg 62.7¢	$5.0K	—	$-5.0K	58% 858-624 (1482)
SI Sisyphus-	Team Spiritavg 38¢	$6.9K	$18.2K	+$11.3K	57% 669-504 (1173)
RA RandomVibecoderARB<$100	PARIVISIONavg 65.9¢	$8.3K	$3.4K	$-4.9K	48% 745-797 (1542)
└ PARIVISION leg	PARIVISIONavg 65.9¢	$7.0K	—	$-7.0K
└ Team Spirit leg	Team Spiritavg 38.8¢	$1.3K	$3.4K	+$2.1K
GX gxxyyARB<$100	PARIVISIONavg 79.7¢	$22.0K	$2.0K	$-20.0K	69% 467-212 (679)
└ PARIVISION leg	PARIVISIONavg 79.7¢	$20.4K	—	$-20.4K
└ Team Spirit leg	Team Spiritavg 83¢	$1.7K	$2.0K	+$340
RNGUziCTR	PARIVISIONavg 87.5¢	$5.4K	—	$-5.4K	51% 210-202 (412)
cat3xcat3xCTR	PARIVISIONavg 62.4¢	$12.9K	—	$-9.8K	56% 311-245 (556)
SI SineNooneEICTR	PARIVISIONavg 64.8¢	$4.8K	—	$-4.8K	55% 903-740 (1643)
Q7 q7662504	Team Spiritavg 85.9¢	$4.5K	$5.2K	+$738.3	89% 338-43 (381)
R2 r2d2v2CTR	PARIVISIONavg 57.1¢	$8.3K	—	$-8.3K	54% 282-239 (521)
BA babyboy9	Team Spiritavg 46.3¢	$1.9K	$4.2K	+$2.3K	55% 332-274 (606)
0X 0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR	PARIVISIONavg 19.7¢	$3.9K	—	$-3.9K	45% 58-70 (128)

Rock.San

Team Spirit

Invested

$27,512.39

Value

$27.5K

PnL

+$27.54

Record

89%

11081-1394 (12475)

UNIVERSEMVPCTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$54,611.96

Value

—

PnL

$-18.8K

Record

70%

49-21 (70)

CoinTrick

Team Spirit

Invested

$19,921.15

Value

$19.9K

PnL

+$19.94

Record

98%

2882-69 (2951)

Medo3D

Team Spirit

Invested

$10,040.62

Value

$17.5K

PnL

+$7.5K

Record

38%

147-237 (384)

GeorgeRe

Team Spirit

Invested

$9,328.36

Value

$19.1K

PnL

+$11.2K

Record

54%

1057-916 (1973)

Skritopoolniy

Team Spirit

Invested

$9,292.87

Value

$15.2K

PnL

$-4.9K

Record

51%

578-559 (1137)

relativesignificance

Team Spirit

Invested

$22,206.79

Value

$37.6K

PnL

+$24.0K

Record

58%

77-55 (132)

CyberScore.liveCTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$18,639.2

Value

—

PnL

$-18.6K

Record

46%

385-455 (840)

0xe2D0f0580716E47979206dcFF5220695e7967BbF-1763023416239

Team Spirit

Invested

$10,718.48

Value

$28.5K

PnL

+$17.8K

Record

41%

269-395 (664)

yadens

Team Spirit

Invested

$16,407.91

Value

$10.9K

PnL

$-1.8K

Record

70%

137-60 (197)

0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620CTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$10,769.43

Value

—

PnL

$-10.2K

Record

55%

30-25 (55)

0xheavy888CTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$7,247.52

Value

—

PnL

$-7.2K

Record

56%

6695-5367 (12062)

para-VisionCTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$7,056.04

Value

—

PnL

$-7.1K

Record

57%

191-147 (338)

StakesForFun

Team Spirit

Invested

$10,500.23

Value

$6.6K

PnL

+$550.77

Record

62%

353-212 (565)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$5,000

Value

—

PnL

$-5.0K

Record

58%

858-624 (1482)

Sisyphus-

Team Spirit

Invested

$6,919

Value

$18.2K

PnL

+$11.3K

Record

57%

669-504 (1173)

RandomVibecoderARB<$100

PARIVISION

Invested

$8,275.04

Value

$3.4K

PnL

$-4.9K

Record

48%

745-797 (1542)

Both legs:

PARIVISION$6,959.4665.9¢$-7.0K

Team Spirit$1,315.5838.8¢+$2.1K

gxxyyARB<$100

PARIVISION

Invested

$22,037.79

Value

$2.0K

PnL

$-20.0K

Record

69%

467-212 (679)

Both legs:

PARIVISION$20,377.879.7¢$-20.4K

Team Spirit$1,659.9983¢+$340

RNGUziCTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$5,352.59

Value

—

PnL

$-5.4K

Record

51%

210-202 (412)

cat3xcat3xCTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$12,910.43

Value

—

PnL

$-9.8K

Record

56%

311-245 (556)

SineNooneEICTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$4,846.47

Value

—

PnL

$-4.8K

Record

55%

903-740 (1643)

q7662504

Team Spirit

Invested

$4,486.98

Value

$5.2K

PnL

+$738.3

Record

89%

338-43 (381)

r2d2v2CTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$8,282.45

Value

—

PnL

$-8.3K

Record

54%

282-239 (521)

babyboy9

Team Spirit

Invested

$1,944.27

Value

$4.2K

PnL

+$2.3K

Record

55%

332-274 (606)

0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR

PARIVISION

Invested

$3,934.33

Value

—

PnL

$-3.9K

Record

45%

58-70 (128)

Smart Money Signal

Team Spirit

39 of 65 top traders (60%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed26 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xa5c2dd36...ccb33d

Slug

dota2-ts8-pari-2026-10-26-game1

Traders in this Market

Rock.San

Team Spirit — $27.5K

+$27.54

UNIVERSEMVP

CTR

PARIVISION — $0

$-18.8K

CoinTrick

Team Spirit — $19.9K

+$19.94

Medo3D

Team Spirit — $17.5K

+$7.5K

GeorgeRe

Team Spirit — $19.1K

+$11.2K

Skritopoolniy

Team Spirit — $15.2K

$-4.9K

relativesignificance

Team Spirit — $37.6K

+$24.0K

CyberScore.live

CTR

PARIVISION — $0

$-18.6K

0xe2D0f0580716E47979206dcFF5220695e7967BbF-1763023416239

Team Spirit — $28.5K

+$17.8K

yadens

Team Spirit — $10.9K

$-1.8K

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