Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

6 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold PARIVISION (75%) · PARIVISION at 65¢ · $16K held · ends Oct 26

Team Spirit36¢PARIVISION64¢Ends Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

PARIVISION

Consensus Traders

PARIVISION 75%

Total Value

$16.2K

Combined PnL

$422.87

Smart Money Entry

62.6¢ → 64.5¢

+3% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralPARIVISION at 65%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)0.70–0.90 was about break-even after costs, +0.4 % a trade (n 4,327); 0.60–0.95 with 70 %+ and $10k+ +2.9 % (n 955). The consensus beats its price by 2–3 points here, about what the costs take.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

PARIVISION

6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Team Spirit36%

PARIVISION65%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

PARIVISION6 traders

Total Value$15.9K

Total Shares24,700

Combined PnL+$427.43

Team Spirit2 traders

Total Value$323.19

Total Shares910

Combined PnL-$4.55

PARIVISION — 75%Team Spirit — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VI vibing123	PARIVISIONavg 63.5¢	$9.8K	$6.3K	+$100.06	53% 1459-1318 (2777)
DR drunkdegenerate	PARIVISIONavg 64¢	$3.8K	$3.8K	-$0	54% 187-157 (344)
TR TrippleEX	PARIVISIONavg 56¢	$2.1K	$2.4K	+$317.53	58% 273-201 (474)
l0wkirkenuinely	PARIVISIONavg 65¢	$1.6K	$1.5K	-$24	57% 188-144 (332)
OJ ojgtubvdt	PARIVISIONavg 63¢	$2.0K	$1.3K	+$29.74	63% 627-376 (1003)
T8 t89e4ygf6	PARIVISIONavg 64¢	$523.82	$527.91	+$4.09	43% 83-108 (191)
GT gt7238CTR	Team Spiritavg 36¢	$170.78	$168.41	-$2.37	45% 549-661 (1210)
0X 0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569CTR	Team Spiritavg 36¢	$156.96	$154.78	-$2.18	46% 832-995 (1827)

vibing123

PARIVISION

Invested

$9,763.22

Value

$6.3K

PnL

+$100.06

Record

53%

1459-1318 (2777)

drunkdegenerate

PARIVISION

Invested

$3,840

Value

$3.8K

PnL

-$0

Record

54%

187-157 (344)

TrippleEX

PARIVISION

Invested

$2,091.91

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$317.53

Record

58%

273-201 (474)

l0wkirkenuinely

PARIVISION

Invested

$1,560

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$24

Record

57%

188-144 (332)

ojgtubvdt

PARIVISION

Invested

$1,982.63

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$29.74

Record

63%

627-376 (1003)

t89e4ygf6

PARIVISION

Invested

$523.82

Value

$527.91

PnL

+$4.09

Record

43%

83-108 (191)

gt7238CTR

Team Spirit

Invested

$170.78

Value

$168.41

PnL

-$2.37

Record

45%

549-661 (1210)

0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569CTR

Team Spirit

Invested

$156.96

Value

$154.78

PnL

-$2.18

Record

46%

832-995 (1827)

Research grade

NeutralPARIVISION at 65%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)0.70–0.90 was about break-even after costs, +0.4 % a trade (n 4,327); 0.60–0.95 with 70 %+ and $10k+ +2.9 % (n 955). The consensus beats its price by 2–3 points here, about what the costs take.

Smart Money Signal

PARIVISION

6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that PARIVISION wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance66.6%

64.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$50.08

Max Loss

-$100.00

150.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.