Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Team Spirit — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Team Spirit

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Team Spirit. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Team Spirit. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Team Spirit 51%

13 arb excluded

Total Value

$270.2K

Combined PnL

$15.5K

Smart Money Signal

Team Spirit

31 of 60 top traders (52%)13 arbitrage traders dimmed29 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Team Spirit100%

Astra Invicta0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Team Spirit31 traders

Total Value$205.7K

Total Shares205,683

Combined PnL+$64.5K

Astra Invicta29 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares159,902

Combined PnL$-49.0K

Team Spirit — 52%Astra Invicta — 48%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Medo3DARB<$100	Team Spiritavg 46.5¢	$17.8K	$25.5K	+$7.7K	38% 143-231 (374)
└ Team Spirit leg	Team Spiritavg 46.5¢	$11.9K	$25.5K	+$13.7K
└ Astra Invicta leg	Astra Invictaavg 27.5¢	$5.9K	—	$-5.9K
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Team Spiritavg 65.8¢	$23.0K	$35.0K	+$12.0K	61% 718-462 (1180)
GX gxxyy	Team Spiritavg 68.7¢	$21.3K	$26.4K	+$5.1K	69% 431-190 (621)
Sunshine.Smile	Team Spiritavg 78.1¢	$27.5K	$27.5K	+$6.0K	58% 1640-1196 (2836)
Skritopoolniy	Team Spiritavg 47.9¢	$12.4K	$23.5K	+$11.1K	51% 549-527 (1076)
CyberScore.liveCTR	Astra Invictaavg 24.7¢	$9.9K	—	$-9.4K	45% 335-409 (744)
RA RandomVibecoder	Team Spiritavg 46.7¢	$6.7K	$12.7K	+$5.8K	47% 645-721 (1366)
GE GeorgeReARB<$100	Astra Invictaavg 25.8¢	$5.6K	$5.2K	-$381.52	53% 1007-877 (1884)
└ Astra Invicta leg	Astra Invictaavg 25.8¢	$4.6K	—	$-4.0K
└ Team Spirit leg	Team Spiritavg 29.4¢	$1.5K	$5.2K	+$3.7K
Q7 q7662504	Team Spiritavg 93¢	$13.1K	$14.1K	+$987.21	89% 326-41 (367)
PROBABILITYTRADERCTR	Astra Invictaavg 40.4¢	$9.1K	—	$-9.1K	42% 1009-1377 (2386)
SI Sisyphus-CTR	Astra Invictaavg 30.5¢	$20.5K	—	$-6.3K	55% 575-468 (1043)
BA babyboy9ARB<$100	Team Spiritavg 52.9¢	$6.7K	$8.0K	-$411.44	55% 319-265 (584)
└ Team Spirit leg	Team Spiritavg 52.9¢	$4.3K	$8.0K	+$2.0K
└ Astra Invicta leg	Astra Invictaavg 48.8¢	$2.4K	—	$-2.4K
0X 0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620	Team Spiritavg 62.7¢	$6.4K	$10.2K	+$3.8K	54% 26-22 (48)
LU luckycat888888CTR	Astra Invictaavg 29¢	$4.9K	—	$-4.9K	— 3-0 (3)
0xheavy888ARB<$100	Team Spiritavg 55.5¢	$5.0K	$6.2K	+$1.1K	56% 6385-5115 (11500)
└ Team Spirit leg	Team Spiritavg 55.5¢	$3.4K	$6.2K	+$2.7K
└ Astra Invicta leg	Astra Invictaavg 46.4¢	$1.6K	—	$-1.6K
CO CoffeemaniaBetsARB<$100	Team Spiritavg 68.2¢	$5.3K	$5.9K	+$563.41	45% 23-28 (51)
└ Team Spirit leg	Team Spiritavg 68.2¢	$4.0K	$5.9K	+$1.9K
└ Astra Invicta leg	Astra Invictaavg 41¢	$1.3K	—	$-1.3K
ST StakesForFun	Team Spiritavg 74.8¢	$22.8K	$7.2K	+$157.15	62% 337-205 (542)
YA yadensCTR	Astra Invictaavg 51.3¢	$7.6K	—	$-7.3K	70% 130-57 (187)
KateBollinger	Team Spiritavg 76¢	$5.3K	$7.0K	+$1.7K	69% 1658-731 (2389)
UN UNIVERSEMVP	Team Spiritavg 64.7¢	$25.1K	$6.4K	+$5.0K	66% 40-21 (61)
KO korandnik	Team Spiritavg 42.4¢	$2.5K	$6.0K	+$3.5K	91% 75-7 (82)
PI pipipi150ARB<$100	Team Spiritavg 63.2¢	$3.8K	$4.1K	+$352.79	64% 1482-840 (2322)
└ Team Spirit leg	Team Spiritavg 63.2¢	$2.6K	$4.1K	+$1.6K
└ Astra Invicta leg	Astra Invictaavg 45.8¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K
RR rrooster	Team Spiritavg 77.8¢	$3.9K	$5.0K	+$1.1K	63% 1149-689 (1838)
Blueberry1337	Team Spiritavg 73¢	$3.6K	$5.0K	+$1.3K	58% 978-701 (1679)
forsenxd	Team Spiritavg 74¢	$2.7K	$4.9K	+$2.1K	53% 867-768 (1635)

Medo3DARB<$100

Team Spirit

Invested

$17,808.52

Value

$25.5K

PnL

+$7.7K

Record

38%

143-231 (374)

Both legs:

Team Spirit$11,881.9446.5¢+$13.7K

Astra Invicta$5,926.5827.5¢$-5.9K

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Team Spirit

Invested

$23,000

Value

$35.0K

PnL

+$12.0K

Record

61%

718-462 (1180)

gxxyy

Team Spirit

Invested

$21,316.1

Value

$26.4K

PnL

+$5.1K

Record

69%

431-190 (621)

Sunshine.Smile

Team Spirit

Invested

$27,500

Value

$27.5K

PnL

+$6.0K

Record

58%

1640-1196 (2836)

Skritopoolniy

Team Spirit

Invested

$12,441.42

Value

$23.5K

PnL

+$11.1K

Record

51%

549-527 (1076)

CyberScore.liveCTR

Astra Invicta

Invested

$9,870.84

Value

—

PnL

$-9.4K

Record

45%

335-409 (744)

RandomVibecoder

Team Spirit

Invested

$6,743.49

Value

$12.7K

PnL

+$5.8K

Record

47%

645-721 (1366)

GeorgeReARB<$100

Astra Invicta

Invested

$5,572.37

Value

$5.2K

PnL

-$381.52

Record

53%

1007-877 (1884)

Both legs:

Astra Invicta$4,610.0625.8¢$-4.0K

Team Spirit$1,526.9529.4¢+$3.7K

q7662504

Team Spirit

Invested

$13,115.79

Value

$14.1K

PnL

+$987.21

Record

89%

326-41 (367)

PROBABILITYTRADERCTR

Astra Invicta

Invested

$9,143.84

Value

—

PnL

$-9.1K

Record

42%

1009-1377 (2386)

Sisyphus-CTR

Astra Invicta

Invested

$20,510.79

Value

—

PnL

$-6.3K

Record

55%

575-468 (1043)

babyboy9ARB<$100

Team Spirit

Invested

$6,668.59

Value

$8.0K

PnL

-$411.44

Record

55%

319-265 (584)

Both legs:

Team Spirit$4,253.6352.9¢+$2.0K

Astra Invicta$2,414.9648.8¢$-2.4K

0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620

Team Spirit

Invested

$6,414.56

Value

$10.2K

PnL

+$3.8K

Record

54%

26-22 (48)

luckycat888888CTR

Astra Invicta

Invested

$4,929.99

Value

—

PnL

$-4.9K

Record

—

3-0 (3)

0xheavy888ARB<$100

Team Spirit

Invested

$5,030.26

Value

$6.2K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

56%

6385-5115 (11500)

Both legs:

Team Spirit$3,419.255.5¢+$2.7K

Astra Invicta$1,611.0646.4¢$-1.6K

CoffeemaniaBetsARB<$100

Team Spirit

Invested

$5,300

Value

$5.9K

PnL

+$563.41

Record

45%

23-28 (51)

Both legs:

Team Spirit$4,00068.2¢+$1.9K

Astra Invicta$1,30041¢$-1.3K

StakesForFun

Team Spirit

Invested

$22,778.45

Value

$7.2K

PnL

+$157.15

Record

62%

337-205 (542)

yadensCTR

Astra Invicta

Invested

$7,600

Value

—

PnL

$-7.3K

Record

70%

130-57 (187)

KateBollinger

Team Spirit

Invested

$5,320

Value

$7.0K

PnL

+$1.7K

Record

69%

1658-731 (2389)

UNIVERSEMVP

Team Spirit

Invested

$25,111.7

Value

$6.4K

PnL

+$5.0K

Record

66%

40-21 (61)

korandnik

Team Spirit

Invested

$2,544.83

Value

$6.0K

PnL

+$3.5K

Record

91%

75-7 (82)

pipipi150ARB<$100

Team Spirit

Invested

$3,840.09

Value

$4.1K

PnL

+$352.79

Record

64%

1482-840 (2322)

Both legs:

Team Spirit$2,601.163.2¢+$1.6K

Astra Invicta$1,23945.8¢$-1.2K

rrooster

Team Spirit

Invested

$3,923.83

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

63%

1149-689 (1838)

Blueberry1337

Team Spirit

Invested

$3,649.99

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

58%

978-701 (1679)

forsenxd

Team Spirit

Invested

$2,744.38

Value

$4.9K

PnL

+$2.1K

Record

53%

867-768 (1635)

Smart Money Signal

Team Spirit

31 of 60 top traders (52%)13 arbitrage traders dimmed29 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xb7f17e85...4cb183

Slug

dota2-ts8-ai1-2026-10-25-game2

Traders in this Market

Medo3D

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$7.7K

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Team Spirit — $35.0K

+$12.0K

gxxyy

Team Spirit — $26.4K

+$5.1K

Sunshine.Smile

Team Spirit — $27.5K

+$6.0K

Skritopoolniy

Team Spirit — $23.5K

+$11.1K

CyberScore.live

CTR

Astra Invicta — $0

$-9.4K

RandomVibecoder

Team Spirit — $12.7K

+$5.8K

GeorgeRe

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$381.52

q7662504

Team Spirit — $14.1K

PROBABILITYTRADER

Astra Invicta — $0