Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

7 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold PARIVISION (88%) · PARIVISION at 96¢ · $6K held · ends Oct 25

PARIVISION96¢BetBoom Team4¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

PARIVISION

Consensus Traders

PARIVISION 88%

Total Value

$6.2K

Combined PnL

-$145.79

Smart Money Entry

91.8¢ → 96¢

+5% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralPARIVISION at 96%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Quality net +3 or moreNet +3 when the consensus formed: +7.2 % a trade pooled (n 214 + 144, 95 % CI +0.9 to +13.6), +5.7 % at a 2¢ half-spread. Fragile: the 5 best events give 66–75 % of the profit.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

PARIVISION

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

PARIVISION96%

BetBoom Team4%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

PARIVISION7 traders

Total Value$6.2K

Total Shares6,890

Combined PnL-$144.9

BetBoom Team1 trader

Total Value$20.45

Total Shares178

Combined PnL-$0.89

PARIVISION — 88%BetBoom Team — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0xheavy888	PARIVISIONavg 89¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	-$10	56% 6385-5115 (11500)
VO Volodyabandit	PARIVISIONavg 93¢	$1.8K	$1.7K	-$87.1	76% 232-75 (307)
AC ACETONE999ME	PARIVISIONavg 95.1¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$25.53	62% 75-46 (121)
OJ ojgtubvdt	PARIVISIONavg 91¢	$972.8	$946.07	-$26.73	62% 588-360 (948)
DA darkumbreon88	PARIVISIONavg 86.5¢	$169.1	$173.06	+$3.96	65% 1543-826 (2369)
0X 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952<$100	PARIVISIONavg 93¢	$90.34	$90.83	+$0.49	84% 514-99 (613)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 12¢	$21.34	$20.45	-$0.89	59% 13975-9717 (23692)
TO TommyLeePeeca<$100	PARIVISIONavg 92¢	$19.2	$19.2	+$0	54% 885-742 (1627)

0xheavy888

PARIVISION

Invested

$1,780

Value

$1.8K

PnL

-$10

Record

56%

6385-5115 (11500)

Volodyabandit

PARIVISION

Invested

$1,800

Value

$1.7K

PnL

-$87.1

Record

76%

232-75 (307)

ACETONE999ME

PARIVISION

Invested

$1,496.03

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$25.53

Record

62%

75-46 (121)

ojgtubvdt

PARIVISION

Invested

$972.8

Value

$946.07

PnL

-$26.73

Record

62%

588-360 (948)

darkumbreon88

PARIVISION

Invested

$169.1

Value

$173.06

PnL

+$3.96

Record

65%

1543-826 (2369)

0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952<$100

PARIVISION

Invested

$90.34

Value

$90.83

PnL

+$0.49

Record

84%

514-99 (613)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$21.34

Value

$20.45

PnL

-$0.89

Record

59%

13975-9717 (23692)

TommyLeePeeca<$100

PARIVISION

Invested

$19.2

Value

$19.2

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

885-742 (1627)

Research grade

NeutralPARIVISION at 96%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Quality net +3 or moreNet +3 when the consensus formed: +7.2 % a trade pooled (n 214 + 144, 95 % CI +0.9 to +13.6), +5.7 % at a 2¢ half-spread. Fragile: the 5 best events give 66–75 % of the profit.

Smart Money Signal

PARIVISION

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that PARIVISION wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance97.2%

96.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$2.89

Max Loss

-$100.00

102.9

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.