Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A

10 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold Zero Tenacity (71%) · Zero Tenacity at 100¢ · $21K held · ends Oct 26

No Hoodwink<1¢Zero Tenacity>99¢Ends Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Zero Tenacity

Consensus Traders

Zero Tenacity 71%

Total Value

$21.4K

Combined PnL

$513.06

Smart Money Entry

71.6¢ → 100¢

+40% since entry · 10 traders

Research grade

NeutralZero Tenacity at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Zero Tenacity

10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

No Hoodwink0%

Zero Tenacity100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Zero Tenacity10 traders

Total Value$20.7K

Total Shares22,410

Combined PnL+$4.3K

No Hoodwink4 traders

Total Value$706.49

Total Shares7,991

Combined PnL$-3.8K

Zero Tenacity — 71%No Hoodwink — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LU LuckyWin	Zero Tenacityavg 99¢	$9.9K	$8.9K	$-1.0K	85% 733-128 (861)
RA RandomVibecoder	Zero Tenacityavg 50.3¢	$4.6K	$8.4K	+$3.8K	48% 745-795 (1540)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Zero Tenacityavg 43.9¢	$792.28	$1.6K	+$848.53	60% 27537-18513 (46050)
LU ludka-minutka	Zero Tenacityavg 42.5¢	$284.5	$635.67	+$351.16	49% 440-457 (897)
1R 1rerrr	Zero Tenacityavg 48¢	$240	$475	+$235	51% 1266-1220 (2486)
Medo3D	Zero Tenacityavg 62.6¢	$267.16	$351.8	+$84.64	38% 147-236 (383)
poshposhCTR	No Hoodwinkavg 39.5¢	$444.42	$336.84	-$107.59	61% 8640-5569 (14209)
BA Barbozaaa321CTR	No Hoodwinkavg 56¢	$3.4K	$299.99	$-3.1K	51% 324-312 (636)
0X 0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190	Zero Tenacityavg 54.6¢	$262.19	$276.01	+$13.81	59% 268-186 (454)
Up0nlyCTR	No Hoodwinkavg 49.6¢	$678.27	$68.43	-$609.84	68% 945-445 (1390)
ZX zxc368<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 99.9¢	$63.44	$63.47	+$0.03	99% 10786-156 (10942)
PA pauleta23<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 72¢	$4.32	$5.7	+$1.38	67% 22101-10723 (32824)
SE seeeeeeb<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 72¢	$4.32	$5.7	+$1.38	50% 475-482 (957)
AR arbmonitorCTR<$100	No Hoodwinkavg 5¢	$1.23	$1.23	+$0	44% 534-684 (1218)

LuckyWin

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$9,900

Value

$8.9K

PnL

$-1.0K

Record

85%

733-128 (861)

RandomVibecoder

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$4,597.75

Value

$8.4K

PnL

+$3.8K

Record

48%

745-795 (1540)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$792.28

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$848.53

Record

60%

27537-18513 (46050)

ludka-minutka

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$284.5

Value

$635.67

PnL

+$351.16

Record

49%

440-457 (897)

1rerrr

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$240

Value

$475

PnL

+$235

Record

51%

1266-1220 (2486)

Medo3D

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$267.16

Value

$351.8

PnL

+$84.64

Record

38%

147-236 (383)

poshposhCTR

No Hoodwink

Invested

$444.42

Value

$336.84

PnL

-$107.59

Record

61%

8640-5569 (14209)

Barbozaaa321CTR

No Hoodwink

Invested

$3,359.91

Value

$299.99

PnL

$-3.1K

Record

51%

324-312 (636)

0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$262.19

Value

$276.01

PnL

+$13.81

Record

59%

268-186 (454)

Up0nlyCTR

No Hoodwink

Invested

$678.27

Value

$68.43

PnL

-$609.84

Record

68%

945-445 (1390)

zxc368<$100

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$63.44

Value

$63.47

PnL

+$0.03

Record

99%

10786-156 (10942)

pauleta23<$100

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$4.32

Value

$5.7

PnL

+$1.38

Record

67%

22101-10723 (32824)

seeeeeeb<$100

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$4.32

Value

$5.7

PnL

+$1.38

Record

50%

475-482 (957)

arbmonitorCTR<$100

No Hoodwink

Invested

$1.23

Value

$1.23

PnL

+$0

Record

44%

534-684 (1218)

Research grade

NeutralZero Tenacity at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Zero Tenacity

10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Zero Tenacity wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.