Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner

22 of 41 top Polymarket traders hold BetBoom Team (54%) · BetBoom Team at 100¢ · $131K held · ended Oct 26

BetBoom Team>99¢LEGION<1¢Ended Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

BetBoom Team

Consensus Traders

BetBoom Team 54%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$131.3K

Combined PnL

$-7.1K

Smart Money Entry

81.9¢ → 100¢

+22% since entry · 22 traders

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Quality net +3 or moreNet +3 when the consensus formed: +7.2 % a trade pooled (n 214 + 144, 95 % CI +0.9 to +13.6), +5.7 % at a 2¢ half-spread. Fragile: the 5 best events give 66–75 % of the profit.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

22 of 41 top traders (54%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed19 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

BetBoom Team100%

LEGION0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BetBoom Team22 traders

Total Value$102.7K

Total Shares126,888

Combined PnL$-3.6K

LEGION19 traders

Total Value$27.8K

Total Shares105,992

Combined PnL$-3.5K

BetBoom Team — 54%LEGION — 46%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LhordGryffin	BetBoom Teamavg 99.9¢	$35.5K	$35.5K	+$17.78	99% 1102-12 (1114)
c4acap	BetBoom Teamavg 99.8¢	$17.6K	$17.3K	-$275.1	98% 2352-40 (2392)
GX gxxyy	BetBoom Teamavg 75.2¢	$9.8K	$10.9K	+$248.86	69% 469-214 (683)
OR origatoCTR	LEGIONavg 40.5¢	$7.0K	$8.5K	+$1.5K	49% 20-21 (41)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR	LEGIONavg 37.8¢	$12.0K	$8.5K	$-3.6K	58% 864-630 (1494)
SI Sisyphus-	BetBoom Teamavg 70.4¢	$11.5K	$8.3K	$-3.2K	57% 679-509 (1188)
MA madar78	BetBoom Teamavg 80.3¢	$23.2K	$6.3K	+$1.3K	67% 43-21 (64)
GE GeorgeRe	BetBoom Teamavg 58.7¢	$7.0K	$6.0K	-$915.94	54% 1060-918 (1978)
0X 0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR	LEGIONavg 22¢	$4.4K	$3.7K	-$700	45% 59-72 (131)
Medo3D	BetBoom Teamavg 60¢	$4.0K	$3.4K	-$603.22	39% 150-238 (388)
RA RandomVibecoder	BetBoom Teamavg 58¢	$2.1K	$2.6K	+$481.84	49% 774-817 (1591)
0X 0xF201A19b43471261A3c1Ba9247335d55270e527e-1763824114616	BetBoom Teamavg 74.3¢	$2.9K	$2.3K	+$903.06	50% 1132-1118 (2250)
PI pipipi150	BetBoom Teamavg 70.7¢	$2.2K	$1.8K	-$411.65	65% 1684-905 (2589)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	BetBoom Teamavg 87¢	$1.7K	$1.7K	-$50	51% 1128-1071 (2199)
IV Ivan948CTR	LEGIONavg 41¢	$1.4K	$1.7K	+$275.91	42% 36-50 (86)
dodsterbotCTR	LEGIONavg 39¢	$1.2K	$1.5K	+$299	46% 614-716 (1330)
1R 1rerrrCTR	LEGIONavg 32.6¢	$2.2K	$1.4K	-$553.65	51% 1281-1242 (2523)
WE wewbo	BetBoom Teamavg 63¢	$1.1K	$1.3K	+$187.5	52% 131-121 (252)
maytopmay	BetBoom Teamavg 73.7¢	$1.9K	$1.3K	-$572.32	60% 266-174 (440)
Stone1337	BetBoom Teamavg 64¢	$1.4K	$1.1K	-$282.48	58% 93-66 (159)
VO Volodyabandit	BetBoom Teamavg 68.4¢	$883.21	$987.15	+$103.94	76% 252-80 (332)
AM AmericaFirst1	BetBoom Teamavg 73.1¢	$1.1K	$799.77	-$346.97	62% 2165-1311 (3476)
0X 0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620CTR	LEGIONavg 23¢	$1.2K	$709.6	-$500.62	54% 32-27 (59)
0xheavy888CTR	LEGIONavg 28.5¢	$570.67	$580	+$9.33	56% 6726-5390 (12116)
eblomixer	BetBoom Teamavg 64¢	$640	$510	-$130	57% 476-358 (834)

LhordGryffin

BetBoom Team

Invested

$35,525.61

Value

$35.5K

PnL

+$17.78

Record

99%

1102-12 (1114)

c4acap

BetBoom Team

Invested

$17,576.29

Value

$17.3K

PnL

-$275.1

Record

98%

2352-40 (2392)

gxxyy

BetBoom Team

Invested

$9,826.17

Value

$10.9K

PnL

+$248.86

Record

69%

469-214 (683)

origatoCTR

LEGION

Invested

$7,027.02

Value

$8.5K

PnL

+$1.5K

Record

49%

20-21 (41)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR

LEGION

Invested

$12,047.77

Value

$8.5K

PnL

$-3.6K

Record

58%

864-630 (1494)

Sisyphus-

BetBoom Team

Invested

$11,496.83

Value

$8.3K

PnL

$-3.2K

Record

57%

679-509 (1188)

madar78

BetBoom Team

Invested

$23,228.16

Value

$6.3K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

67%

43-21 (64)

GeorgeRe

BetBoom Team

Invested

$6,957.1

Value

$6.0K

PnL

-$915.94

Record

54%

1060-918 (1978)

0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR

LEGION

Invested

$4,399.98

Value

$3.7K

PnL

-$700

Record

45%

59-72 (131)

Medo3D

BetBoom Team

Invested

$4,021.49

Value

$3.4K

PnL

-$603.22

Record

39%

150-238 (388)

RandomVibecoder

BetBoom Team

Invested

$2,112.6

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$481.84

Record

49%

774-817 (1591)

0xF201A19b43471261A3c1Ba9247335d55270e527e-1763824114616

BetBoom Team

Invested

$2,931.84

Value

$2.3K

PnL

+$903.06

Record

50%

1132-1118 (2250)

pipipi150

BetBoom Team

Invested

$2,225.3

Value

$1.8K

PnL

-$411.65

Record

65%

1684-905 (2589)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,740

Value

$1.7K

PnL

-$50

Record

51%

1128-1071 (2199)

Ivan948CTR

LEGION

Invested

$1,404.31

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$275.91

Record

42%

36-50 (86)

dodsterbotCTR

LEGION

Invested

$1,170

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$299

Record

46%

614-716 (1330)

1rerrrCTR

LEGION

Invested

$2,205.73

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$553.65

Record

51%

1281-1242 (2523)

wewbo

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,120.8

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$187.5

Record

52%

131-121 (252)

maytopmay

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,856.36

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$572.32

Record

60%

266-174 (440)

Stone1337

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,390.69

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$282.48

Record

58%

93-66 (159)

Volodyabandit

BetBoom Team

Invested

$883.21

Value

$987.15

PnL

+$103.94

Record

76%

252-80 (332)

AmericaFirst1

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,146.74

Value

$799.77

PnL

-$346.97

Record

62%

2165-1311 (3476)

0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620CTR

LEGION

Invested

$1,210.21

Value

$709.6

PnL

-$500.62

Record

54%

32-27 (59)

0xheavy888CTR

LEGION

Invested

$570.67

Value

$580

PnL

+$9.33

Record

56%

6726-5390 (12116)

eblomixer

BetBoom Team

Invested

$640

Value

$510

PnL

-$130

Record

57%

476-358 (834)

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Quality net +3 or moreNet +3 when the consensus formed: +7.2 % a trade pooled (n 214 + 144, 95 % CI +0.9 to +13.6), +5.7 % at a 2¢ half-spread. Fragile: the 5 best events give 66–75 % of the profit.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

22 of 41 top traders (54%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed19 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that BetBoom Team wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.