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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdani<$100UpDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$18.61
Combined PnL
-$36.84
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares46
Combined PnL-$36.79
Up2 traders
Total Value$18.61
Total Shares19
Combined PnL-$0.06
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $9.21 | — | -$9.21 | 63% 47924-28546 (76470) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $18.43 | $17.38 | -$1.06 | 55% 41545-33964 (75509) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 88.5¢ | $17.68 | — | -$17.68 | 65% 19990-10879 (30869) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $9.9 | — | -$9.9 | 58% 11877-8681 (20558) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $0.23 | $1.23 | +$1 | 55% 16513-13257 (29770) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$9.21
Value
—
PnL
-$9.21
Record
63%
47924-28546 (76470)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$18.43
Value
$17.38
PnL
-$1.06
Record
55%
41545-33964 (75509)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$17.68
Value
—
PnL
-$17.68
Record
65%
19990-10879 (30869)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
58%
11877-8681 (20558)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$0.23
Value
$1.23
PnL
+$1
Record
55%
16513-13257 (29770)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x62bf8845...a97cef
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1793041200