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MayorMamdani<$100UpDownUpDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$134.16
Combined PnL
-$45.4
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$134.16
Total Shares134
Combined PnL+$2.22
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares125
Combined PnL-$47.62
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 93.1¢ | $74.52 | $76.16 | +$1.64 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.6¢ | $15.57 | — | -$15.57 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $57.42 | $58 | +$0.58 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.9¢ | $16.4 | — | -$16.4 | 51% 17725-17052 (34777) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 34.5¢ | $10.45 | — | -$10.45 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.3¢ | $5.2 | — | -$5.2 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$74.52
Value
$76.16
PnL
+$1.64
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$15.57
Value
—
PnL
-$15.57
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$57.42
Value
$58
PnL
+$0.58
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$16.4
Value
—
PnL
-$16.4
Record
51%
17725-17052 (34777)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$10.45
Value
—
PnL
-$10.45
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$5.2
Value
—
PnL
-$5.2
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x61bbe216...2f7ae4
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1793004000