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UpUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$11.37
Combined PnL
-$0.53
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$11.37
Total Shares11
Combined PnL+$4.16
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares13
Combined PnL-$4.69
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $4.5 | $6.16 | +$1.66 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.71 | $5.21 | +$2.5 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 51% 17725-17052 (34777) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $1.79 | — | -$1.79 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$6.16
PnL
+$1.66
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2.71
Value
$5.21
PnL
+$2.5
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
51%
17725-17052 (34777)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.79
Value
—
PnL
-$1.79
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x00d07591...f0fe29
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1793003100