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Down
MayorMamdani<$100UpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$19.53
Combined PnL
$0.15
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares21
Combined PnL-$2.83
Up2 traders
Total Value$19.53
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$2.98
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.7¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 56% 15511-12385 (27896) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 80.5¢ | $8.67 | $10.77 | +$2.1 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $7.88 | $8.76 | +$0.88 | 58% 55142-40208 (95350) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.18 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
56%
15511-12385 (27896)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.67
Value
$10.77
PnL
+$2.1
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$7.88
Value
$8.76
PnL
+$0.88
Record
58%
55142-40208 (95350)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x15c0d56d...364cf3
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1792996200