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UpDownUp
MayorMamdani<$100DownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 60%
Total Value
$22.24
Combined PnL
-$9.55
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares149
Combined PnL-$20.76
Down3 traders
Total Value$22.24
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$11.21
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.6¢ | $7.76 | — | -$7.76 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 48.8¢ | $7.4 | $15.18 | +$7.78 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $2.51 | — | -$2.51 | 81% 33630-7895 (41525) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 35.8¢ | $3.63 | $7.06 | +$3.43 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 73.1¢ | $10.49 | — | -$10.49 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | — | — | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$7.76
Value
—
PnL
-$7.76
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$7.4
Value
$15.18
PnL
+$7.78
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$2.51
Value
—
PnL
-$2.51
Record
81%
33630-7895 (41525)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.63
Value
$7.06
PnL
+$3.43
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$10.49
Value
—
PnL
-$10.49
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7e899053...d4d9b2
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1792986000