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DownUpDownDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 20%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$297.05
Combined PnL
-$103.72
Smart Money Signal
Up
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$145
Total Shares145
Combined PnL+$1.95
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares125
Combined PnL-$105.67
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $180.71 | $152.05 | -$28.66 | 88% 52847-6938 (59785) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 71¢ | $120.31 | — | -$120.31 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 39.7¢ | $60.4 | $152.05 | +$91.65 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.7¢ | $143.05 | $145 | +$1.95 | 93% 20604-1665 (22269) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $64.04 | — | -$64.04 | 57% 33225-25562 (58787) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $27.73 | — | -$27.73 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 64.6¢ | $9.75 | — | -$9.75 | 56% 15191-12099 (27290) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $4.15 | — | -$4.15 | 62% 42888-25869 (68757) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100Invested
$180.71
Value
$152.05
PnL
-$28.66
Record
88%
52847-6938 (59785)
Both legs:
Down$120.3171¢-$120.31
Up$60.439.7¢+$91.65
HO
hoodquantInvested
$143.05
Value
$145
PnL
+$1.95
Record
93%
20604-1665 (22269)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$64.04
Value
—
PnL
-$64.04
Record
57%
33225-25562 (58787)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$27.73
Value
—
PnL
-$27.73
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$9.75
Value
—
PnL
-$9.75
Record
56%
15191-12099 (27290)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.15
Value
—
PnL
-$4.15
Record
62%
42888-25869 (68757)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6fa40e6c...ccad16
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1792982700