Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 1%?

9 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold No (82%) · No at 99¢ · $241 held · ends Nov 24

Yes<1¢No>99¢Ends Tue, Nov 24, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Consensus Traders

No 82%

Total Value

$241

Combined PnL

$6.1

Smart Money Entry

85.9¢ → 99.4¢

+16% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralNo at 99%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes1%

No99%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No9 traders

Total Value$238.71

Total Shares241

Combined PnL+$28.3

Yes2 traders

Total Value$2.44

Total Shares203

Combined PnL-$22.19

No — 82%Yes — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AL alex20011<$100	Noavg 86¢	$36.99	$42.49	+$5.51	48% 3101-3334 (6435)
KA kaxel78<$100	Noavg 86¢	$34.67	$39.83	+$5.16	35% 218-411 (629)
2B9S<$100	Noavg 85.5¢	$37.4	$39.76	+$2.36	18% 3414-15601 (19015)
KL klli27<$100	Noavg 85¢	$26.15	$30.4	+$4.25	34% 243-478 (721)
LI Likaseent<$100	Noavg 84¢	$16.8	$19.76	+$2.96	33% 157-325 (482)
PO pollo07<$100	Noavg 85¢	$17	$19.76	+$2.76	34% 273-519 (792)
VA Vale54holi<$100	Noavg 86¢	$17.2	$19.76	+$2.56	31% 133-292 (425)
AK akroll<$100	Noavg 86¢	$15.42	$17.71	+$2.3	35% 269-495 (764)
ZE zerone777<$100	Noavg 94¢	$8.79	$9.24	+$0.45	45% 354-437 (791)
AJ AJSVCTR<$100	Yesavg 13.3¢	$24.44	$2.2	-$22.23	36% 13723-24173 (37896)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 1¢	$0.2	$0.24	+$0.04	33% 3273-6508 (9781)

alex20011<$100

Invested

$36.99

Value

$42.49

PnL

+$5.51

Record

48%

3101-3334 (6435)

kaxel78<$100

Invested

$34.67

Value

$39.83

PnL

+$5.16

Record

35%

218-411 (629)

2B9S<$100

Invested

$37.4

Value

$39.76

PnL

+$2.36

Record

18%

3414-15601 (19015)

klli27<$100

Invested

$26.15

Value

$30.4

PnL

+$4.25

Record

34%

243-478 (721)

Likaseent<$100

Invested

$16.8

Value

$19.76

PnL

+$2.96

Record

33%

157-325 (482)

pollo07<$100

Invested

$17

Value

$19.76

PnL

+$2.76

Record

34%

273-519 (792)

Vale54holi<$100

Invested

$17.2

Value

$19.76

PnL

+$2.56

Record

31%

133-292 (425)

akroll<$100

Invested

$15.42

Value

$17.71

PnL

+$2.3

Record

35%

269-495 (764)

zerone777<$100

Invested

$8.79

Value

$9.24

PnL

+$0.45

Record

45%

354-437 (791)

AJSVCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$24.44

Value

$2.2

PnL

-$22.23

Record

36%

13723-24173 (37896)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$0.2

Value

$0.24

PnL

+$0.04

Record

33%

3273-6508 (9781)

Research grade

NeutralNo at 99%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.4¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.