Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Sökerorg - Map 1 Winner

6 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Spirit Academy (75%) · Spirit Academy at 100¢ · $14K held · ends Oct 25

Spirit Academy>99¢Sökerorg<1¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Spirit Academy

Consensus Traders

Spirit Academy 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$14.2K

Combined PnL

$1.3K

Smart Money Entry

51¢ → 100¢

+96% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralSpirit Academy at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Spirit Academy

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Spirit Academy100%

Sökerorg0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Spirit Academy6 traders

Total Value$11.0K

Total Shares17,354

Combined PnL+$2.0K

Sökerorg2 traders

Total Value$3.1K

Total Shares7,118

Combined PnL-$698.24

Spirit Academy — 75%Sökerorg — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620	Spirit Academyavg 42.9¢	$6.1K	$7.6K	+$1.8K	52% 24-22 (46)
LO looppau	Spirit Academyavg 99.9¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	+$1.25	99% 6805-36 (6841)
puntobigbossCTR	Sökerorgavg 53.1¢	$3.7K	$2.4K	-$453.09	69% 59-27 (86)
0X 0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237CTR	Sökerorgavg 58.7¢	$915.34	$670.19	-$245.15	50% 299-294 (593)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Spirit Academyavg 34¢	$340	$570	+$230	51% 979-932 (1911)
BE berlinskies	Spirit Academyavg 40¢	$123.77	$176.26	+$52.49	57% 4829-3602 (8431)
VP Vps1<$100	Spirit Academyavg 99.9¢	$99.9	$99.95	+$0.05	93% 162-12 (174)
SH shiifooARB<$100	Spirit Academyavg 51¢	$51.94	$99.93	+$47.99	63% 2594-1552 (4146)
└ Spirit Academy leg	Spirit Academyavg 51¢	$50.94	$56.93	+$5.99
└ Sökerorg leg	Sökerorgavg 1¢	$1	$43	+$42
TE testBruno2	Spirit Academyavg 59.6¢	$275.36	$53.37	-$65.4	57% 742-550 (1292)

0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620

Spirit Academy

Invested

$6,063.91

Value

$7.6K

PnL

+$1.8K

Record

52%

24-22 (46)

looppau

Spirit Academy

Invested

$2,497.5

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$1.25

Record

99%

6805-36 (6841)

puntobigbossCTR

Sökerorg

Invested

$3,700.11

Value

$2.4K

PnL

-$453.09

Record

69%

59-27 (86)

0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237CTR

Sökerorg

Invested

$915.34

Value

$670.19

PnL

-$245.15

Record

50%

299-294 (593)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

Spirit Academy

Invested

$340

Value

$570

PnL

+$230

Record

51%

979-932 (1911)

berlinskies

Spirit Academy

Invested

$123.77

Value

$176.26

PnL

+$52.49

Record

57%

4829-3602 (8431)

Vps1<$100

Spirit Academy

Invested

$99.9

Value

$99.95

PnL

+$0.05

Record

93%

162-12 (174)

shiifooARB<$100

Spirit Academy

Invested

$51.94

Value

$99.93

PnL

+$47.99

Record

63%

2594-1552 (4146)

Both legs:

Spirit Academy$50.9451¢+$5.99

Sökerorg$11¢+$42

testBruno2

Spirit Academy

Invested

$275.36

Value

$53.37

PnL

-$65.4

Record

57%

742-550 (1292)

Research grade

NeutralSpirit Academy at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Spirit Academy

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Spirit Academy wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.