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StudyPredictionOver
RN1ARB<$100UnderOver
poshposh<$100Over
forsenxdCTRUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Games Total: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Over 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$2.9K
Combined PnL
$477.11
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares2,037
Combined PnL+$659.75
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares351
Combined PnL-$182.65
Over β 60%Under β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() StudyPrediction | Overavg 46Β’ | $719.7 | $1.6K | +$658.68 | 53% 4284-3785 (8069) |
![]() RN1ARB<$100 | Underavg 47.3Β’ | $853.5 | $841.18 | -$442.36 | 54% 51866-43791 (95657) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 33Β’ | $277.59 | $841.18 | +$139.64 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 47.3Β’ | $575.91 | β | -$582 | |
ZX zxc368 | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $467.03 | $467.5 | +$0.47 | 99% 10810-156 (10966) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Overavg 88Β’ | $4.4 | $5 | +$0.6 | 61% 8644-5579 (14223) |
![]() forsenxdCTR | Underavg 52Β’ | $182.65 | β | -$182.65 | 53% 1014-882 (1896) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Underavg 54Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 17407-17735 (35142) |
StudyPredictionInvested
$719.7
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$658.68
Record
53%
4284-3785 (8069)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$853.5
Value
$841.18
PnL
-$442.36
Record
54%
51866-43791 (95657)
Both legs:
Over$277.5933Β’+$139.64
Under$575.9147.3Β’-$582
ZX
zxc368Invested
$467.03
Value
$467.5
PnL
+$0.47
Record
99%
10810-156 (10966)
poshposh<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.6
Record
61%
8644-5579 (14223)
forsenxdCTRInvested
$182.65
Value
β
PnL
-$182.65
Record
53%
1014-882 (1896)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
17407-17735 (35142)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x17e0e3e7...c484a8
Slug
cs2-ts7-furia-2026-10-26-total-games-2pt5