Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was FURIA — and it was correct. Winning outcome: FURIA
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
Resolved FURIA. 66% of the top Polymarket traders held FURIA. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
FURIA 66%
3 arb excluded
$121.9K
$5.1K
Smart Money Signal
21 of 32 top traders (66%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | FURIAavg 58¢ | $43.7K | $45.9K | +$2.2K | 54% 51828-43764 (95592) |
 JohnLKellyJrCTR | Spiritavg 59.8¢ | $16.4K | — | $-16.4K | 53% 1073-952 (2025) |
LL lllllllIlllCTR | Spiritavg 67¢ | $8.7K | — | $-8.7K | 54% 258-220 (478) |
 cruzNBA | FURIAavg 49.4¢ | $9.1K | $18.4K | +$9.3K | 42% 371-516 (887) |
AN AnibalAugustoSardinhaARB<$100 | FURIAavg 32¢ | $4.2K | $11.1K | +$6.9K | 52% 52-48 (100) |
| └ FURIA leg | FURIAavg 32¢ | $3.6K | $11.1K | +$7.6K | |
| └ Spirit leg | Spiritavg 41¢ | $630.32 | — | -$630.32 | |
Q7 q7662504 | FURIAavg 89¢ | $4.4K | $5.0K | +$550 | 89% 336-43 (379) |
UN UnknownpoluyCTR | Spiritavg 47.2¢ | $2.9K | — | $-2.9K | 43% 77-101 (178) |
 forsenxd | FURIAavg 31.8¢ | $10.9K | $10.9K | +$7.4K | 53% 1013-881 (1894) |
13 1337zzz1337 | FURIAavg 49.8¢ | $4.3K | $8.6K | +$4.3K | 51% 194-184 (378) |
GT gt7238 | FURIAavg 56.5¢ | $1.6K | $2.7K | +$1.1K | 45% 564-688 (1252) |
FA facaigegeCTR | Spiritavg 40¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 49% 370-388 (758) |
 Stone1337CTR | Spiritavg 51¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 59% 91-64 (155) |
DE delacsynzy1 | FURIAavg 42.3¢ | $2.0K | $4.7K | +$2.7K | 50% 410-402 (812) |
CL CLj0711CTR | Spiritavg 33¢ | $641.55 | — | -$641.55 | 44% 281-362 (643) |
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100 | FURIAavg 62.2¢ | $830.62 | $809.98 | -$20.64 | 50% 17388-17711 (35099) |
| └ Spirit leg | Spiritavg 32.4¢ | $326.5 | — | -$326.5 | |
| └ FURIA leg | FURIAavg 62.2¢ | $504.12 | $809.98 | +$305.86 | |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR | Spiritavg 49¢ | $648.29 | — | -$648.29 | 53% 2837-2499 (5336) |
 latvian.demonCTR | Spiritavg 32¢ | $417 | — | -$417 | 53% 575-505 (1080) |
 0xHunterOkCTR | Spiritavg 67¢ | $864.3 | — | -$864.3 | 54% 235-201 (436) |
TH THEHIGHLIFE | FURIAavg 49¢ | $1.0K | $2.1K | +$1.1K | 54% 2439-2098 (4537) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | FURIAavg 33¢ | $660 | $2.0K | +$1.3K | 51% 1105-1059 (2164) |
 Reformedx | FURIAavg 51¢ | $1.0K | $2.0K | +$980 | 52% 755-694 (1449) |
FR frohp5 | FURIAavg 57.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.9K | +$805.19 | 65% 1870-1003 (2873) |
PI PIPIZIN | FURIAavg 49.4¢ | $261.74 | $1.8K | +$1.6K | 51% 374-362 (736) |
0X 0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569 | FURIAavg 33¢ | $348.81 | $1.1K | +$708.19 | 46% 841-1003 (1844) |
RU Ruler11 | FURIAavg 50¢ | $43.08 | $717.94 | +$674.86 | 51% 269-259 (528) |
RN1Invested
$43,701.09
Value
$45.9K
PnL
+$2.2K
Record
54%
51828-43764 (95592)
JohnLKellyJrCTRInvested
$16,388.78
Value
—
PnL
$-16.4K
Record
53%
1073-952 (2025)
Invested
$8,737.57
Value
—
PnL
$-8.7K
Record
54%
258-220 (478)
cruzNBAInvested
$9,100.1
Value
$18.4K
PnL
+$9.3K
Record
42%
371-516 (887)
Invested
$4,185.82
Value
$11.1K
PnL
+$6.9K
Record
52%
52-48 (100)
Both legs:
Invested
$4,449.99
Value
$5.0K
PnL
+$550
Record
89%
336-43 (379)
Invested
$2,918
Value
—
PnL
$-2.9K
Record
43%
77-101 (178)
forsenxdInvested
$10,916.84
Value
$10.9K
PnL
+$7.4K
Record
53%
1013-881 (1894)
Invested
$4,300
Value
$8.6K
PnL
+$4.3K
Record
51%
194-184 (378)
Invested
$1,603.11
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
45%
564-688 (1252)
Invested
$1,200
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
49%
370-388 (758)
Stone1337CTRInvested
$1,428
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
59%
91-64 (155)
Invested
$2,000
Value
$4.7K
PnL
+$2.7K
Record
50%
410-402 (812)
Invested
$641.55
Value
—
PnL
-$641.55
Record
44%
281-362 (643)
Invested
$830.62
Value
$809.98
PnL
-$20.64
Record
50%
17388-17711 (35099)
Both legs:
Invested
$648.29
Value
—
PnL
-$648.29
Record
53%
2837-2499 (5336)
latvian.demonCTRInvested
$417
Value
—
PnL
-$417
Record
53%
575-505 (1080)
0xHunterOkCTRInvested
$864.3
Value
—
PnL
-$864.3
Record
54%
235-201 (436)
Invested
$1,043.62
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
54%
2439-2098 (4537)
Invested
$660
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
51%
1105-1059 (2164)
ReformedxInvested
$1,020
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$980
Record
52%
755-694 (1449)
Invested
$1,100
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$805.19
Record
65%
1870-1003 (2873)
Invested
$261.74
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$1.6K
Record
51%
374-362 (736)
Invested
$348.81
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$708.19
Record
46%
841-1003 (1844)
Invested
$43.08
Value
$717.94
PnL
+$674.86
Record
51%
269-259 (528)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
FURIA — $45.9K
JohnLKellyJr
CTRSpirit — $0
lllllllIlll
CTRSpirit — $0
cruzNBA
FURIA — $18.4K
AnibalAugustoSardinha
ARBArbitrage — excluded
q7662504
FURIA — $5.0K
Unknownpoluy
CTRSpirit — $0
forsenxd
FURIA — $10.9K
1337zzz1337
FURIA — $8.6K
gt7238
FURIA — $2.7K