Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

6 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Brute (75%) · Brute at 97¢ · $39K held · ends Oct 25

Infinite3¢Brute97¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Brute

Consensus Traders

Brute 75%

Total Value

$39.4K

Combined PnL

-$854.24

Smart Money Entry

56.6¢ → 97.1¢

+71% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralBrute at 97%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Brute

6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Infinite3%

Brute97%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Brute6 traders

Total Value$30.4K

Total Shares35,788

Combined PnL+$10.1K

Infinite2 traders

Total Value$8.9K

Total Shares44,757

Combined PnL$-10.9K

Brute — 75%Infinite — 25%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 67%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

75% of non-arb traders are on Brute. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 67% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpBrute 50% · 2

Aligned

ctrBrute 75% · 4

Aligned

Top 1000Brute 75% · 8

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VI vibing123	Bruteavg 55.5¢	$8.1K	$12.4K	+$4.3K	57% 1289-990 (2279)
LL lllllllIlllCTR	Infiniteavg 44.4¢	$19.7K	$8.9K	$-10.9K	55% 238-196 (434)
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255F	Bruteavg 56.8¢	$5.3K	$7.8K	+$2.5K	54% 102-88 (190)
HU humbleboy	Bruteavg 56¢	$4.5K	$6.9K	+$2.4K	54% 399-337 (736)
RI Richidd	Bruteavg 62.4¢	$1.6K	$2.2K	+$553.28	47% 44-50 (94)
LE legitgame	Bruteavg 55¢	$540	$824.8	+$240.61	57% 204-157 (361)
TO TommyLeePeeca	Bruteavg 80.5¢	$3.0K	$271.6	+$1.57	55% 867-722 (1589)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR	Infiniteavg 45¢	$135	$48	-$87	53% 12247-10971 (23218)

vibing123

Brute

Invested

$8,108.06

Value

$12.4K

PnL

+$4.3K

Record

57%

1289-990 (2279)

lllllllIlllCTR

Infinite

Invested

$19,742.87

Value

$8.9K

PnL

$-10.9K

Record

55%

238-196 (434)

0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255F

Brute

Invested

$5,298.3

Value

$7.8K

PnL

+$2.5K

Record

54%

102-88 (190)

humbleboy

Brute

Invested

$4,479.99

Value

$6.9K

PnL

+$2.4K

Record

54%

399-337 (736)

Richidd

Brute

Invested

$1,600

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$553.28

Record

47%

44-50 (94)

legitgame

Brute

Invested

$540

Value

$824.8

PnL

+$240.61

Record

57%

204-157 (361)

TommyLeePeeca

Brute

Invested

$3,028.28

Value

$271.6

PnL

+$1.57

Record

55%

867-722 (1589)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR

Infinite

Invested

$135

Value

$48

PnL

-$87

Record

53%

12247-10971 (23218)

Research grade

NeutralBrute at 97%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Brute

6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 67%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

75% of non-arb traders are on Brute. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 67% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpBrute 50% · 2

Aligned

ctrBrute 75% · 4

Aligned

Top 1000Brute 75% · 8

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Brute wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance98.2%

97.1¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$1.84

Max Loss

-$100.00

101.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.