Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Natus Vincere — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Natus Vincere
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Natus Vincere. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Natus Vincere. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Natus Vincere 59%
4 arb excluded
$57.4K
$-5.8K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 25 top traders (64%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 cruzNBA | Natus Vincereavg 64.6¢ | $13.9K | $21.6K | +$7.7K | 41% 333-473 (806) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | FURIAavg 29.6¢ | $21.4K | $12.8K | $-8.6K | 55% 43817-36057 (79874) |
| └ Natus Vincere leg | Natus Vincereavg 81.1¢ | $10.4K | $12.8K | +$2.4K | |
| └ FURIA leg | FURIAavg 29.6¢ | $11.0K | — | $-11.0K | |
TH THEHIGHLIFE | Natus Vincereavg 55.1¢ | $4.7K | $8.5K | +$3.3K | 54% 2350-2028 (4378) |
KA kaheCTR | FURIAavg 65¢ | $10.1K | — | $-10.1K | 68% 571-272 (843) |
 PROBABILITYTRADER | Natus Vincereavg 59¢ | $1.8K | $3.1K | +$1.2K | 42% 1009-1377 (2386) |
BI BillBenter2026 | Natus Vincereavg 70.6¢ | $2.6K | $2.5K | -$107.95 | 58% 16182-11818 (28000) |
QI qidao001 | Natus Vincereavg 56.1¢ | $1.2K | $2.1K | +$838.04 | 86% 1362-225 (1587) |
AN AnibalAugustoSardinhaCTR | FURIAavg 24.2¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 55% 46-38 (84) |
TO TommyLeePeecaARB<$100 | Natus Vincereavg 80.9¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$5.69 | 54% 885-742 (1627) |
| └ Natus Vincere leg | Natus Vincereavg 80.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.4K | +$261.85 | |
| └ FURIA leg | FURIAavg 23.1¢ | $256.1 | — | -$256.17 | |
 JustADonkCTR | FURIAavg 62¢ | $3.6K | — | $-3.6K | 55% 824-673 (1497) |
AD adururu | Natus Vincereavg 56.1¢ | $574.99 | $1.0K | +$418.6 | 54% 295-248 (543) |
OX oxe78sh4w98 | Natus Vincereavg 56.1¢ | $574.62 | $1.0K | +$434.34 | 52% 222-202 (424) |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554ARB<$100 | FURIAavg 45¢ | $1.2K | $533 | -$663.31 | 53% 2392-2133 (4525) |
| └ Natus Vincere leg | Natus Vincereavg 74.4¢ | $396.31 | $533 | +$136.7 | |
| └ FURIA leg | FURIAavg 45¢ | $800 | — | -$800 | |
 forsenxd | Natus Vincereavg 34¢ | $311.56 | $916.35 | +$604.79 | 53% 867-768 (1635) |
CH chillhouse123 | Natus Vincereavg 70.7¢ | $619.8 | $745.04 | +$166.66 | 54% 2730-2314 (5044) |
 ColdWCTR | FURIAavg 62¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | 61% 1906-1236 (3142) |
PO pol2131 | Natus Vincereavg 56¢ | $279.99 | $499.99 | +$219.99 | 45% 339-422 (761) |
DS dsasdaasCTR | FURIAavg 62¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 64% 275-158 (433) |
 dicekingCTR | FURIAavg 40.3¢ | $674.99 | — | -$674.99 | 59% 250-174 (424) |
 0xHunterOkCTR | FURIAavg 62.4¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 54% 232-199 (431) |
PA panpidaras1 | Natus Vincereavg 73.7¢ | $314.28 | $284.11 | -$27.84 | 54% 154-130 (284) |
 latvian.demonCTR | FURIAavg 23.9¢ | $297 | — | -$297 | 53% 548-480 (1028) |
 relativesignificance | Natus Vincereavg 37.4¢ | $81.28 | $217.12 | +$135.84 | 57% 63-47 (110) |
0X 0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569CTR | FURIAavg 45¢ | $403.65 | — | -$403.65 | 47% 787-905 (1692) |
GR Grool | Natus Vincereavg 73¢ | $146 | $200 | +$54 | 54% 1529-1318 (2847) |
cruzNBAInvested
$13,946.91
Value
$21.6K
PnL
+$7.7K
Record
41%
333-473 (806)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$21,360.38
Value
$12.8K
PnL
$-8.6K
Record
55%
43817-36057 (79874)
Both legs:
Invested
$4,678.92
Value
$8.5K
PnL
+$3.3K
Record
54%
2350-2028 (4378)
Invested
$10,110.73
Value
—
PnL
$-10.1K
Record
68%
571-272 (843)
PROBABILITYTRADERInvested
$1,824.09
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
42%
1009-1377 (2386)
Invested
$2,613.9
Value
$2.5K
PnL
-$107.95
Record
58%
16182-11818 (28000)
Invested
$1,151.36
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$838.04
Record
86%
1362-225 (1587)
Invested
$2,084.79
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
55%
46-38 (84)
Invested
$1,365.21
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$5.69
Record
54%
885-742 (1627)
Both legs:
JustADonkCTRInvested
$3,568.1
Value
—
PnL
$-3.6K
Record
55%
824-673 (1497)
Invested
$574.99
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$418.6
Record
54%
295-248 (543)
Invested
$574.62
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$434.34
Record
52%
222-202 (424)
Invested
$1,196.31
Value
$533
PnL
-$663.31
Record
53%
2392-2133 (4525)
Both legs:
forsenxdInvested
$311.56
Value
$916.35
PnL
+$604.79
Record
53%
867-768 (1635)
Invested
$619.8
Value
$745.04
PnL
+$166.66
Record
54%
2730-2314 (5044)
ColdWCTRInvested
$1,819.7
Value
—
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
61%
1906-1236 (3142)
Invested
$279.99
Value
$499.99
PnL
+$219.99
Record
45%
339-422 (761)
Invested
$1,120
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
64%
275-158 (433)
dicekingCTRInvested
$674.99
Value
—
PnL
-$674.99
Record
59%
250-174 (424)
0xHunterOkCTRInvested
$1,042.48
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
54%
232-199 (431)
Invested
$314.28
Value
$284.11
PnL
-$27.84
Record
54%
154-130 (284)
latvian.demonCTRInvested
$297
Value
—
PnL
-$297
Record
53%
548-480 (1028)
relativesignificanceInvested
$81.28
Value
$217.12
PnL
+$135.84
Record
57%
63-47 (110)
Invested
$403.65
Value
—
PnL
-$403.65
Record
47%
787-905 (1692)
Invested
$146
Value
$200
PnL
+$54
Record
54%
1529-1318 (2847)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
cruzNBA
Natus Vincere — $21.6K
RN1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
THEHIGHLIFE
Natus Vincere — $8.5K
kahe
CTRFURIA — $0
PROBABILITYTRADER
Natus Vincere — $3.1K
BillBenter2026
Natus Vincere — $2.5K
qidao001
Natus Vincere — $2.1K
AnibalAugustoSardinha
CTRFURIA — $0
TommyLeePeeca
ARBArbitrage — excluded
JustADonk
CTRFURIA — $0