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Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

9 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold BetBoom Team (64%) · BetBoom Team at 100¢ · $56K held · ends Oct 25

BetBoom Team>99¢Nemiga<1¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

BetBoom Team

Consensus Traders

14

BetBoom Team 64%

Total Value

$56.1K

Combined PnL

$-7.3K

Smart Money Entry

84.1¢ → 100¢

+19% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

  • Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

BetBoom Team100%
Nemiga0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BetBoom Team9 traders
Total Value$53.0K
Total Shares63,435
Combined PnL$-2.5K
Nemiga5 traders
Total Value$3.1K
Total Shares19,346
Combined PnL$-4.9K
BetBoom Team — 64%Nemiga — 36%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 69%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

62% of non-arb traders are on BetBoom Team. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 69% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians
whaleBetBoom Team 100% · 2
Aligned
sharpBetBoom Team 67% · 3
Aligned
ctrNemiga 56% · 9
Diverging
Hand-pickedBetBoom Team 67% · 3
Aligned
Top 1000BetBoom Team 64% · 11
Aligned

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.10
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xd16a3f6f...23f512
Slug
cs2-bb3-nemi1-2026-10-25-game1
Trade on Polymarket