
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner
9 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold BetBoom Team (64%) · BetBoom Team at 100¢ · $56K held · ends Oct 25
⚖️
Neutral
BetBoom Team
14
BetBoom Team 64%
$56.1K
$-7.3K
84.1¢ → 100¢
+19% since entry · 9 traders
Research grade
NeutralBetBoom Team at 100%
No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).
- Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Flat
+0 pts consensus
Breadth
8 traders
Top 2 hold 69%
Freshness
Fresh
0h old
Flip Quality
Clean
0 consensus flips
62% of non-arb traders are on BetBoom Team. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 69% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() noreasapa | BetBoom Teamavg 99.9¢ | $26.8K | $23.8K | $-3.1K | 92% 3182-290 (3472) |
![]() RN1 | BetBoom Teamavg 74¢ | $17.7K | $16.1K | $-1.5K | 55% 43396-35692 (79088) |
RE redvinny | BetBoom Teamavg 75.9¢ | $14.8K | $4.1K | +$583.2 | 75% 1311-437 (1748) |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554 | BetBoom Teamavg 68¢ | $3.4K | $3.0K | +$727.21 | 53% 2364-2105 (4469) |
IV Ivan948CTR | Nemigaavg 46.9¢ | $3.4K | $1.8K | $-1.7K | 41% 31-44 (75) |
PA panpidaras1 | BetBoom Teamavg 68¢ | $2.0K | $1.7K | +$418.56 | 55% 151-125 (276) |
A8 a8999 | BetBoom Teamavg 54¢ | $1.1K | $1.4K | +$269.86 | 44% 816-1020 (1836) |
TO TommyLeePeeca | BetBoom Teamavg 77.7¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$7.19 | 55% 860-708 (1568) |
![]() cruzNBACTR | Nemigaavg 38¢ | $11.3K | $1.2K | $-3.1K | 42% 327-451 (778) |
BI BillBenter2026 | BetBoom Teamavg 78.2¢ | $1.3K | $1.1K | +$143.89 | 58% 16108-11762 (27870) |
CH chillhouse123 | BetBoom Teamavg 80.1¢ | $344.14 | $265.8 | -$60.42 | 54% 2681-2286 (4967) |
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR | Nemigaavg 45¢ | $225 | $120 | -$105 | 69% 4242-1916 (6158) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR | Nemigaavg 44.4¢ | $1.5K | $48.07 | +$39.86 | 58% 31536-22821 (54357) |
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR<$100 | Nemigaavg 43¢ | $7.66 | $4.28 | -$3.38 | 47% 1966-2195 (4161) |
noreasapaInvested
$26,825.83
Value
$23.8K
PnL
$-3.1K
Record
92%
3182-290 (3472)
RN1Invested
$17,671.6
Value
$16.1K
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
55%
43396-35692 (79088)
Invested
$14,837.49
Value
$4.1K
PnL
+$583.2
Record
75%
1311-437 (1748)
Invested
$3,382.34
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$727.21
Record
53%
2364-2105 (4469)
Invested
$3,423.41
Value
$1.8K
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
41%
31-44 (75)
Invested
$1,981.82
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$418.56
Record
55%
151-125 (276)
Invested
$1,120.96
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$269.86
Record
44%
816-1020 (1836)
Invested
$1,380.4
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$7.19
Record
55%
860-708 (1568)
cruzNBACTRInvested
$11,332.62
Value
$1.2K
PnL
$-3.1K
Record
42%
327-451 (778)
Invested
$1,271
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$143.89
Record
58%
16108-11762 (27870)
Invested
$344.14
Value
$265.8
PnL
-$60.42
Record
54%
2681-2286 (4967)
Invested
$225
Value
$120
PnL
-$105
Record
69%
4242-1916 (6158)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$1,463.29
Value
$48.07
PnL
+$39.86
Record
58%
31536-22821 (54357)
Invested
$7.66
Value
$4.28
PnL
-$3.38
Record
47%
1966-2195 (4161)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market

noreasapa
BetBoom Team — $23.8K

RN1
BetBoom Team — $16.1K
redvinny
BetBoom Team — $4.1K
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
BetBoom Team — $3.0K
Ivan948
CTRNemiga — $1.8K
panpidaras1
BetBoom Team — $1.7K
a8999
BetBoom Team — $1.4K
TommyLeePeeca
BetBoom Team — $1.4K

cruzNBA
CTRNemiga — $1.2K
BillBenter2026
BetBoom Team — $1.1K