Smart money holds the underdog side

Most tracked traders hold BetBoom Team, while the market favors Natus Vincere (52%). 5 of 11 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

5 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold BetBoom Team (45%) · BetBoom Team at 49¢ · $13K held · ends Oct 26

BetBoom Team49¢Natus Vincere51¢Ends Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

BetBoom Team

Consensus Traders

BetBoom Team 45%

Total Value

$13.1K

Combined PnL

$46.86

Smart Money Entry

48.1¢ → 48.5¢

+1% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 49%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 30–50¢0.30–0.50 lost −6.5 % a trade pooled (n 2,793), a little worse than the plain consensus.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

5 of 11 top traders (45%)Underdog side (market favors Natus Vincere 52%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

BetBoom Team49%

Natus Vincere52%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BetBoom Team5 traders

Total Value$9.8K

Total Shares20,330

Combined PnL+$74.95

Natus Vincere6 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares6,299

Combined PnL-$28.09

BetBoom Team — 45%Natus Vincere — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LL lllllllIlllCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 47.5¢	$4.8K	$4.9K	+$105.73	54% 259-222 (481)
IV Ivan948CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 49¢	$4.5K	$4.5K	-$46.17	40% 33-50 (83)
BA Babooou	Natus Vincereavg 51¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$14.88	52% 194-177 (371)
TG tghj20	Natus Vincereavg 54.5¢	$950	$914.79	-$35.21	54% 37-31 (68)
AS astapzippo	Natus Vincereavg 53.1¢	$407	$394.45	-$12.55	56% 2062-1603 (3665)
RN1	Natus Vincereavg 51¢	$382.89	$387.32	+$4.44	54% 51866-43791 (95657)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 44¢	$218.68	$236.08	+$17.39	53% 5255-4588 (9843)
BI BillBenter2026CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 47¢	$199.75	$197.63	-$2.13	58% 17830-13105 (30935)
forsenxd<$100	Natus Vincereavg 52¢	$42.56	$42.97	+$0.41	53% 1014-882 (1896)
LU luckycat888888CTR<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 45¢	$10.23	$10.35	+$0.11	46% 11-13 (24)
DumplingBMF<$100	Natus Vincereavg 55¢	$1.12	$1.07	-$0.05	68% 1775-819 (2594)

lllllllIlllCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$4,817.76

Value

$4.9K

PnL

+$105.73

Record

54%

259-222 (481)

Ivan948CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$4,524.42

Value

$4.5K

PnL

-$46.17

Record

40%

33-50 (83)

Babooou

Natus Vincere

Invested

$1,517.57

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$14.88

Record

52%

194-177 (371)

tghj20

Natus Vincere

Invested

$950

Value

$914.79

PnL

-$35.21

Record

54%

37-31 (68)

astapzippo

Natus Vincere

Invested

$407

Value

$394.45

PnL

-$12.55

Record

56%

2062-1603 (3665)

RN1

Natus Vincere

Invested

$382.89

Value

$387.32

PnL

+$4.44

Record

54%

51866-43791 (95657)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$218.68

Value

$236.08

PnL

+$17.39

Record

53%

5255-4588 (9843)

BillBenter2026CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$199.75

Value

$197.63

PnL

-$2.13

Record

58%

17830-13105 (30935)

forsenxd<$100

Natus Vincere

Invested

$42.56

Value

$42.97

PnL

+$0.41

Record

53%

1014-882 (1896)

luckycat888888CTR<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$10.23

Value

$10.35

PnL

+$0.11

Record

46%

11-13 (24)

DumplingBMF<$100

Natus Vincere

Invested

$1.12

Value

$1.07

PnL

-$0.05

Record

68%

1775-819 (2594)

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 49%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 30–50¢0.30–0.50 lost −6.5 % a trade pooled (n 2,793), a little worse than the plain consensus.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

5 of 11 top traders (45%)Underdog side (market favors Natus Vincere 52%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that BetBoom Team wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance50.7%

48.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$97.04

Max Loss

-$100.00

197.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.