Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

7 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold BetBoom Team (50%) · BetBoom Team at 100¢ · $104K held · ends Oct 26

BetBoom Team>99¢Natus Vincere<1¢Ends Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

BetBoom Team

Consensus Traders

BetBoom Team 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$103.5K

Combined PnL

$21.3K

Smart Money Entry

42.1¢ → 100¢

+137% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

7 of 14 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

BetBoom Team100%

Natus Vincere0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BetBoom Team7 traders

Total Value$59.2K

Total Shares72,647

Combined PnL+$22.2K

Natus Vincere7 traders

Total Value$14.0K

Total Shares23,450

Combined PnL-$931

BetBoom Team — 50%Natus Vincere — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	BetBoom Teamavg 34¢	$21.3K	$43.2K	+$21.8K	54% 51866-43791 (95657)
cruzNBAARB<$100	Natus Vincereavg 64.3¢	$28.7K	$26.0K	$-2.7K	42% 373-516 (889)
└ Natus Vincere leg	Natus Vincereavg 64.3¢	$22.1K	$20.5K	$-1.6K
└ BetBoom Team leg	BetBoom Teamavg 48.3¢	$6.6K	$5.5K	$-1.1K
RE redvinny	BetBoom Teamavg 64.1¢	$13.0K	$8.9K	+$1.1K	75% 1422-481 (1903)
JohnLKellyJrCTR	Natus Vincereavg 65.9¢	$9.0K	$8.1K	-$868.45	53% 1078-955 (2033)
PROBABILITYTRADER	BetBoom Teamavg 53.5¢	$5.3K	$5.0K	-$300	42% 1051-1435 (2486)
FA facaigegeARB<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 43.1¢	$3.0K	$4.3K	+$1.3K	49% 370-389 (759)
└ BetBoom Team leg	BetBoom Teamavg 43.1¢	$2.1K	$3.2K	+$1.1K
└ Natus Vincere leg	Natus Vincereavg 27¢	$899.91	$1.1K	+$249.97
forsenxdCTR	Natus Vincereavg 59.8¢	$2.7K	$2.7K	+$9.14	53% 1014-882 (1896)
VeryLucky888CTR	Natus Vincereavg 59.7¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$10	58% 37579-27344 (64923)
13 1337zzz1337	BetBoom Teamavg 51¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$44.02	51% 194-184 (378)
latvian.demonCTR	Natus Vincereavg 66.9¢	$760	$727.29	-$32.71	53% 578-505 (1083)
DE delacsynzy1	BetBoom Teamavg 55.6¢	$1,000	$548.44	-$451.56	51% 411-402 (813)
RE RebornAthenaCTR	Natus Vincereavg 51.3¢	$400	$393.62	-$6.38	53% 1975-1778 (3753)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Natus Vincereavg 69.4¢	$273.16	$230.41	-$42.75	50% 17407-17735 (35142)
AN AnibalAugustoSardinha<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 38¢	$77.8	$81.89	+$4.09	52% 53-48 (101)
poshposh<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 28.8¢	$34.53	$29.36	-$5.18	61% 8644-5579 (14223)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Natus Vincereavg 70¢	$7	$7.15	+$0.15	59% 7418-5134 (12552)

RN1

BetBoom Team

Invested

$21,319.89

Value

$43.2K

PnL

+$21.8K

Record

54%

51866-43791 (95657)

cruzNBAARB<$100

Natus Vincere

Invested

$28,687.15

Value

$26.0K

PnL

$-2.7K

Record

42%

373-516 (889)

Both legs:

Natus Vincere$22,108.3164.3¢$-1.6K

BetBoom Team$6,578.8448.3¢$-1.1K

redvinny

BetBoom Team

Invested

$12,968.29

Value

$8.9K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

75%

1422-481 (1903)

JohnLKellyJrCTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$8,950.92

Value

$8.1K

PnL

-$868.45

Record

53%

1078-955 (2033)

PROBABILITYTRADER

BetBoom Team

Invested

$5,349.98

Value

$5.0K

PnL

-$300

Record

42%

1051-1435 (2486)

facaigegeARB<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$2,987.68

Value

$4.3K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

49%

370-389 (759)

Both legs:

BetBoom Team$2,087.7843.1¢+$1.1K

Natus Vincere$899.9127¢+$249.97

forsenxdCTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$2,718.39

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$9.14

Record

53%

1014-882 (1896)

VeryLucky888CTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$1,789.99

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$10

Record

58%

37579-27344 (64923)

1337zzz1337

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$44.02

Record

51%

194-184 (378)

latvian.demonCTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$760

Value

$727.29

PnL

-$32.71

Record

53%

578-505 (1083)

delacsynzy1

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,000

Value

$548.44

PnL

-$451.56

Record

51%

411-402 (813)

RebornAthenaCTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$400

Value

$393.62

PnL

-$6.38

Record

53%

1975-1778 (3753)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$273.16

Value

$230.41

PnL

-$42.75

Record

50%

17407-17735 (35142)

AnibalAugustoSardinha<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$77.8

Value

$81.89

PnL

+$4.09

Record

52%

53-48 (101)

poshposh<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$34.53

Value

$29.36

PnL

-$5.18

Record

61%

8644-5579 (14223)

RLWGCTR<$100

Natus Vincere

Invested

Value

$7.15

PnL

+$0.15

Record

59%

7418-5134 (12552)

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

7 of 14 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that BetBoom Team wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.