PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Bayer 04 Leverkusen β€” but TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won instead.

Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)

Resolved TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Bayer 04 Leverkusen. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 75%

Total Value

$2.8K

Combined PnL

$-4.8K

Smart Money Signal

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim100%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Bayer 04 Leverkusen3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares7,930
Combined PnL$-7.4K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim4 traders
Total Value$2.8K
Total Shares2,752
Combined PnL+$2.6K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen β€” 43%TSG 1899 Hoffenheim β€” 57%

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xdb08e7db...09a7a4
Slug
bun-hof-b04-2026-10-25-spread-home-2pt5
Trade on Polymarket