Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Bayer 04 Leverkusen β but TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won instead.

Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
Resolved TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Bayer 04 Leverkusen. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 75%
$2.8K
$-4.8K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Bayer 04 Leverkusenavg 93.8Β’ | $7.5K | β | $-7.0K | 52% 16312-14865 (31177) |
FO fooooolCTR | Bayer 04 Leverkusenavg 94.1Β’ | $402.97 | β | -$402.97 | 51% 6583-6340 (12923) |
![]() RN1 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheimavg 6Β’ | $165.13 | $2.8K | +$2.6K | 55% 43612-35879 (79491) |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Bayer 04 Leverkusenavg 96.9Β’ | $19.38 | β | -$19.38 | 57% 1506-1114 (2620) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheimavg 5.8Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 68% 31211-14997 (46208) |
HI hi774c<$100 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheimavg 7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 4238-3435 (7673) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheimavg 6.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 8825-8766 (17591) |
Invested
$7,484.47
Value
β
PnL
$-7.0K
Record
52%
16312-14865 (31177)
Invested
$402.97
Value
β
PnL
-$402.97
Record
51%
6583-6340 (12923)
RN1Invested
$165.13
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$2.6K
Record
55%
43612-35879 (79491)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$19.38
Value
β
PnL
-$19.38
Record
57%
1506-1114 (2620)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
31211-14997 (46208)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
4238-3435 (7673)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
8825-8766 (17591)
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