Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 75%
$7.2K
$98
Smart Money Signal
15 of 20 top traders (75%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35.01 | 74% 101033-36153 (137186) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 89.1¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$51.6 | 56% 7230-5580 (12810) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$18.88 | 93% 21935-1697 (23632) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 91.4¢ | $435.71 | $476.82 | +$41.11 | 48% 22491-24293 (46784) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 66¢ | $150.93 | $184.97 | +$34.03 | 56% 13238-10612 (23850) |
 FairValueMachineCTR | Upavg 43¢ | $100.9 | — | -$100.9 | 56% 11992-9251 (21243) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 83.1¢ | $171.75 | $206.67 | +$34.91 | 55% 43094-35539 (78633) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $65.12 | $44 | -$21.02 | 55% 6910-5671 (12581) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 74.8¢ | $107.03 | $143.01 | +$35.97 | 60% 11706-7655 (19361) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 83.2¢ | $78.27 | $71.43 | -$6.84 | 49% 4765-4917 (9682) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 74.3¢ | $69.64 | $85.99 | +$16.35 | 57% 11531-8558 (20089) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $46.3 | $44.99 | -$1.31 | 55% 8167-6617 (14784) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97.5¢ | $60.6 | $56 | -$4.6 | 52% 88160-82530 (170690) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $20.37 | — | -$20.37 | 59% 37055-26228 (63283) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $18.06 | — | -$18.06 | 66% 97696-50250 (147946) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $13.68 | $15.72 | +$2.04 | 65% 20263-11052 (31315) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $10.76 | $13.29 | +$2.53 | 57% 9913-7414 (17327) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 55% 16679-13386 (30065) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $2.29 | $2.8 | +$0.5 | 55% 23406-18967 (42373) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $0.73 | — | -$0.73 | 58% 50428-36579 (87007) |
BoneOhioInvested
$3,465.89
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35.01
Record
74%
101033-36153 (137186)
Invested
$1,070.28
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$51.6
Record
56%
7230-5580 (12810)
Invested
$1,214.12
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$18.88
Record
93%
21935-1697 (23632)
Invested
$435.71
Value
$476.82
PnL
+$41.11
Record
48%
22491-24293 (46784)
Invested
$150.93
Value
$184.97
PnL
+$34.03
Record
56%
13238-10612 (23850)
FairValueMachineCTRInvested
$100.9
Value
—
PnL
-$100.9
Record
56%
11992-9251 (21243)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$171.75
Value
$206.67
PnL
+$34.91
Record
55%
43094-35539 (78633)
Invested
$65.12
Value
$44
PnL
-$21.02
Record
55%
6910-5671 (12581)
Invested
$107.03
Value
$143.01
PnL
+$35.97
Record
60%
11706-7655 (19361)
Invested
$78.27
Value
$71.43
PnL
-$6.84
Record
49%
4765-4917 (9682)
Invested
$69.64
Value
$85.99
PnL
+$16.35
Record
57%
11531-8558 (20089)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$46.3
Value
$44.99
PnL
-$1.31
Record
55%
8167-6617 (14784)
Invested
$60.6
Value
$56
PnL
-$4.6
Record
52%
88160-82530 (170690)
Invested
$20.37
Value
—
PnL
-$20.37
Record
59%
37055-26228 (63283)
Invested
$18.06
Value
—
PnL
-$18.06
Record
66%
97696-50250 (147946)
Invested
$13.68
Value
$15.72
PnL
+$2.04
Record
65%
20263-11052 (31315)
Invested
$10.76
Value
$13.29
PnL
+$2.53
Record
57%
9913-7414 (17327)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
55%
16679-13386 (30065)
Invested
$2.29
Value
$2.8
PnL
+$0.5
Record
55%
23406-18967 (42373)
Invested
$0.73
Value
—
PnL
-$0.73
Record
58%
50428-36579 (87007)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $3.5K
wzbbb
Down — $1.1K
hoodquant
Down — $1.2K
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down — $476.82
GoodFallen
Down — $184.97
FairValueMachine
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $206.67
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $44
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $143.01
ply-pm0
Down — $71.43