Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 75%

7 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.6K

Combined PnL

$62.54

Smart Money Signal

17 of 22 top traders (77%)7 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up17 traders

Total Value$4.2K

Total Shares4,192

Combined PnL+$218.89

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares307

Combined PnL-$156.35

Up — 77%Down — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$1.7K	$1.7K	+$16.81	56% 28747-22562 (51309)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$1.5K	$1.6K	+$15.64	74% 100978-36150 (137128)
WZ wzbbbARB<$100	Upavg 68.9¢	$425.06	$418.93	-$6.12	56% 7214-5573 (12787)
└ Down leg	Downavg 12.1¢	$136.23	—	-$136.23
└ Up leg	Upavg 68.9¢	$288.82	$418.93	+$130.11
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100	Upavg 57.9¢	$305.36	$302.26	-$3.1	49% 4758-4907 (9665)
└ Down leg	Downavg 29.2¢	$130.35	—	-$130.35
└ Up leg	Upavg 57.9¢	$175.01	$302.26	+$127.25
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Upavg 49.8¢	$173.73	$219.99	+$46.26	56% 13228-10604 (23832)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$109.6	$219.99	+$110.39
└ Down leg	Downavg 45.9¢	$64.13	—	-$64.13
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100	Upavg 87.3¢	$152.53	$132	-$20.53	55% 6902-5661 (12563)
└ Down leg	Downavg 20.8¢	$37.25	—	-$37.25
└ Up leg	Upavg 87.3¢	$115.28	$132	+$16.72
machinelearnedARB<$100	Upavg 60.4¢	$98.97	$120.02	+$21.05	55% 8158-6608 (14766)
└ Down leg	Downavg 17.8¢	$26.49	—	-$26.49
└ Up leg	Upavg 60.4¢	$72.48	$120.02	+$47.54
EZ EZTRADENL2ARB<$100	Upavg 61.8¢	$141.87	$149.97	+$8.1	57% 11520-8551 (20071)
└ Up leg	Upavg 61.8¢	$92.69	$149.97	+$57.28
└ Down leg	Downavg 55¢	$49.18	—	-$49.18
DV dvasdkasodkARB<$100	Upavg 83.1¢	$81.42	$77.08	-$4.34	52% 88053-82440 (170493)
└ Down leg	Downavg 12.1¢	$17.36	—	-$17.36
└ Up leg	Upavg 83.1¢	$64.06	$77.08	+$13.02
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.8¢	$162.06	$163.99	+$1.93	93% 21903-1696 (23599)
AN antsaslyku	Upavg 63.2¢	$84.85	$134.15	+$49.3	66% 110218-56576 (166794)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 47¢	$59.22	$126	+$66.78	66% 97619-50176 (147795)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$113.49	$113.6	+$0.11	85% 57529-10533 (68062)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$58.71	$75.3	+$16.59	56% 11986-9239 (21225)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 87.8¢	$95.43	$108.71	+$13.28	60% 11693-7650 (19343)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 89.9¢	$94.61	$105.28	+$10.68	56% 57185-44208 (101393)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 66¢	$68.55	—	-$68.55	55% 16665-13373 (30038)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 55.9¢	$53.03	$61.37	+$8.34	65% 121395-64704 (186099)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 67.8¢	$60.32	—	-$60.32	55% 43017-35460 (78477)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 1.2¢	$1.09	—	-$1.09	46% 37389-43600 (80989)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Upavg 49¢	$33.49	$39	+$5.51	12% 17737-130549 (148286)
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100	Downavg 75¢	$21.3	—	-$21.3	55% 23399-18958 (42357)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 82¢	$10.49	$12.8	+$2.3	58% 59659-43523 (103182)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 50.4¢	$5.08	—	-$5.08	59% 37019-26207 (63226)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 87¢	$4.35	$5	+$0.65	64% 39390-22458 (61848)

THG.

Invested

$1,663.73

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$16.81

Record

56%

28747-22562 (51309)

BoneOhio

Invested

$1,547.88

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$15.64

Record

74%

100978-36150 (137128)

wzbbbARB<$100

Invested

$425.06

Value

$418.93

PnL

-$6.12

Record

56%

7214-5573 (12787)

Both legs:

Down$136.2312.1¢-$136.23

Up$288.8268.9¢+$130.11

ply-pm0ARB<$100

Invested

$305.36

Value

$302.26

PnL

-$3.1

Record

49%

4758-4907 (9665)

Both legs:

Down$130.3529.2¢-$130.35

Up$175.0157.9¢+$127.25

GoodFallenARB<$100

Invested

$173.73

Value

$219.99

PnL

+$46.26

Record

56%

13228-10604 (23832)

Both legs:

Up$109.649.8¢+$110.39

Down$64.1345.9¢-$64.13

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100

Invested

$152.53

Value

$132

PnL

-$20.53

Record

55%

6902-5661 (12563)

Both legs:

Down$37.2520.8¢-$37.25

Up$115.2887.3¢+$16.72

machinelearnedARB<$100

Invested

$98.97

Value

$120.02

PnL

+$21.05

Record

55%

8158-6608 (14766)

Both legs:

Down$26.4917.8¢-$26.49

Up$72.4860.4¢+$47.54

EZTRADENL2ARB<$100

Invested

$141.87

Value

$149.97

PnL

+$8.1

Record

57%

11520-8551 (20071)

Both legs:

Up$92.6961.8¢+$57.28

Down$49.1855¢-$49.18

dvasdkasodkARB<$100

Invested

$81.42

Value

$77.08

PnL

-$4.34

Record

52%

88053-82440 (170493)

Both legs:

Down$17.3612.1¢-$17.36

Up$64.0683.1¢+$13.02

hoodquant

Invested

$162.06

Value

$163.99

PnL

+$1.93

Record

93%

21903-1696 (23599)

antsaslyku

Invested

$84.85

Value

$134.15

PnL

+$49.3

Record

66%

110218-56576 (166794)

Bonereaper

Invested

$59.22

Value

$126

PnL

+$66.78

Record

66%

97619-50176 (147795)

0x50f7

Invested

$113.49

Value

$113.6

PnL

+$0.11

Record

85%

57529-10533 (68062)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$58.71

Value

$75.3

PnL

+$16.59

Record

56%

11986-9239 (21225)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$95.43

Value

$108.71

PnL

+$13.28

Record

60%

11693-7650 (19343)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$94.61

Value

$105.28

PnL

+$10.68

Record

56%

57185-44208 (101393)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$68.55

Value

—

PnL

-$68.55

Record

55%

16665-13373 (30038)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$53.03

Value

$61.37

PnL

+$8.34

Record

65%

121395-64704 (186099)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$60.32

Value

—

PnL

-$60.32

Record

55%

43017-35460 (78477)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$1.09

Value

—

PnL

-$1.09

Record

46%

37389-43600 (80989)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Invested

$33.49

Value

$39

PnL

+$5.51

Record

12%

17737-130549 (148286)

sir-upalotCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$21.3

Value

—

PnL

-$21.3

Record

55%

23399-18958 (42357)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$10.49

Value

$12.8

PnL

+$2.3

Record

58%

59659-43523 (103182)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$5.08

Value

—

PnL

-$5.08

Record

59%

37019-26207 (63226)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$4.35

Value

PnL

+$0.65

Record

64%

39390-22458 (61848)

Smart Money Signal

17 of 22 top traders (77%)7 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc3c0155e...3594d6

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793059500

Traders in this Market

THG.

Up — $1.7K

+$16.81

BoneOhio

Up — $1.6K

wzbbb

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm0

Arbitrage — excluded

GoodFallen

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Arbitrage — excluded

machinelearned

Arbitrage — excluded

EZTRADENL2

Arbitrage — excluded

dvasdkasodk

Arbitrage — excluded

hoodquant

Up — $163.99

+$1.93

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