Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 76%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$9.9K

Combined PnL

$29.95

Smart Money Signal

16 of 22 top traders (73%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up16 traders

Total Value$9.4K

Total Shares9,401

Combined PnL+$276.66

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares456

Combined PnL-$246.71

Up — 73%Down — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$2.9K	$2.9K	+$28.87	56% 28742-22560 (51302)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 89.2¢	$2.5K	$2.4K	-$161.38	56% 7196-5567 (12763)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$1.7K	$1.8K	+$17.64	74% 100933-36124 (137057)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 54.2¢	$547.67	$603.74	+$56.07	56% 13220-10595 (23815)
machinelearned	Upavg 57.2¢	$291.95	$403.2	+$111.25	55% 8149-6600 (14749)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 65.8¢	$279.76	$286.67	+$6.91	49% 4751-4896 (9647)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 65.9¢	$238.47	$269.77	+$31.31	57% 11506-8544 (20050)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 67.4¢	$263.95	$312.88	+$48.92	60% 11681-7645 (19326)
MayorMamdaniARB<$100	Downavg 65.3¢	$251.8	$162.68	-$89.12	55% 42983-35443 (78426)
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.4¢	$125.85	$162.68	+$36.83
└ Down leg	Downavg 65.3¢	$125.95	—	-$125.95
FairValueMachineARB<$100	Upavg 51.7¢	$108.15	$121.36	+$13.21	56% 11976-9233 (21209)
└ Up leg	Upavg 51.7¢	$62.73	$121.36	+$58.63
└ Down leg	Downavg 43.3¢	$45.42	—	-$45.42
pspspsps5	Upavg 92.2¢	$104.28	$110.2	+$5.93	46% 37365-43576 (80941)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100	Upavg 67¢	$105.47	$87.99	-$17.48	55% 6891-5655 (12546)
└ Up leg	Upavg 67¢	$58.95	$87.99	+$29.04
└ Down leg	Downavg 38¢	$46.51	—	-$46.51
AN antsaslykuARB<$100	Upavg 62.4¢	$114.02	$95.7	-$18.32	66% 110197-56555 (166752)
└ Up leg	Upavg 62.4¢	$59.72	$95.7	+$35.98
└ Down leg	Downavg 59.6¢	$54.3	—	-$54.3
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 89.1¢	$81.9	$74	-$7.91	52% 87991-82424 (170415)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR	Downavg 66.9¢	$115.17	—	-$115.17	56% 57139-44178 (101317)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$59.77	—	-$59.77	59% 36998-26188 (63186)
HS Hsilverbasher	Upavg 51.3¢	$61.52	$120	+$58.48	12% 17734-130544 (148278)
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100	Downavg 33.7¢	$41.97	—	-$41.97	57% 9895-7391 (17286)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 69.5¢	$47.37	$45.82	+$13.55	65% 20166-10990 (31156)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 68.2¢	$37.74	$55.37	+$17.63	65% 121312-64687 (185999)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 53.6¢	$23.19	$43.3	+$20.11	55% 23390-18954 (42344)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 54.2¢	$24.75	—	-$24.75	55% 16647-13358 (30005)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100	Upavg 35¢	$14.72	$42.05	+$27.33	48% 22322-23966 (46288)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 61¢	$3.05	$5	+$1.95	64% 39379-22457 (61836)
AtomforgeCTR<$100	Downavg 60¢	$5.04	—	-$5.04	65% 3717-2005 (5722)

THG.

Invested

$2,858.13

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$28.87

Record

56%

28742-22560 (51302)

wzbbb

Invested

$2,540.04

Value

$2.4K

PnL

-$161.38

Record

56%

7196-5567 (12763)

BoneOhio

Invested

$1,745.93

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$17.64

Record

74%

100933-36124 (137057)

GoodFallen

Invested

$547.67

Value

$603.74

PnL

+$56.07

Record

56%

13220-10595 (23815)

machinelearned

Invested

$291.95

Value

$403.2

PnL

+$111.25

Record

55%

8149-6600 (14749)

ply-pm0

Invested

$279.76

Value

$286.67

PnL

+$6.91

Record

49%

4751-4896 (9647)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$238.47

Value

$269.77

PnL

+$31.31

Record

57%

11506-8544 (20050)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$263.95

Value

$312.88

PnL

+$48.92

Record

60%

11681-7645 (19326)

MayorMamdaniARB<$100

Down

Invested

$251.8

Value

$162.68

PnL

-$89.12

Record

55%

42983-35443 (78426)

Both legs:

Up$125.8577.4¢+$36.83

Down$125.9565.3¢-$125.95

FairValueMachineARB<$100

Invested

$108.15

Value

$121.36

PnL

+$13.21

Record

56%

11976-9233 (21209)

Both legs:

Up$62.7351.7¢+$58.63

Down$45.4243.3¢-$45.42

pspspsps5

Invested

$104.28

Value

$110.2

PnL

+$5.93

Record

46%

37365-43576 (80941)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100

Invested

$105.47

Value

$87.99

PnL

-$17.48

Record

55%

6891-5655 (12546)

Both legs:

Up$58.9567¢+$29.04

Down$46.5138¢-$46.51

antsaslykuARB<$100

Invested

$114.02

Value

$95.7

PnL

-$18.32

Record

66%

110197-56555 (166752)

Both legs:

Up$59.7262.4¢+$35.98

Down$54.359.6¢-$54.3

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$81.9

Value

$74

PnL

-$7.91

Record

52%

87991-82424 (170415)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR

Down

Invested

$115.17

Value

—

PnL

-$115.17

Record

56%

57139-44178 (101317)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$59.77

Value

—

PnL

-$59.77

Record

59%

36998-26188 (63186)

Hsilverbasher

Invested

$61.52

Value

$120

PnL

+$58.48

Record

12%

17734-130544 (148278)

trdyugiolkwCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$41.97

Value

—

PnL

-$41.97

Record

57%

9895-7391 (17286)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$47.37

Value

$45.82

PnL

+$13.55

Record

65%

20166-10990 (31156)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$37.74

Value

$55.37

PnL

+$17.63

Record

65%

121312-64687 (185999)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$23.19

Value

$43.3

PnL

+$20.11

Record

55%

23390-18954 (42344)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$24.75

Value

—

PnL

-$24.75

Record

55%

16647-13358 (30005)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100

Invested

$14.72

Value

$42.05

PnL

+$27.33

Record

48%

22322-23966 (46288)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$3.05

Value

PnL

+$1.95

Record

64%

39379-22457 (61836)

AtomforgeCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$5.04

Value

—

PnL

-$5.04

Record

65%

3717-2005 (5722)

Smart Money Signal

16 of 22 top traders (73%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x662c54c5...929de6

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793059200

Traders in this Market

THG.

Up — $2.9K

+$28.87

wzbbb

Up — $2.4K

-$161.38

BoneOhio

Up — $1.8K

+$17.64

GoodFallen

Up — $603.74

+$56.07

machinelearned

Up — $403.2

+$111.25

ply-pm0

Up — $286.67

+$6.91

EZTRADENL2

Up — $269.77

+$31.31

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $312.88

MayorMamdani

Arbitrage — excluded

FairValueMachine

Arbitrage — excluded