Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
21
Up 79%
$3.0K
$822.35
Smart Money Signal
16 of 21 top traders (76%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TE Telawin | Upavg 49.5Β’ | $500 | $1.0K | +$510.51 | 51% 331-323 (654) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 82.1Β’ | $317.35 | $354.59 | +$37.24 | 56% 7196-5567 (12763) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 50.1Β’ | $224.48 | $447.77 | +$223.29 | 59% 36998-26188 (63186) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 80.1Β’ | $185.21 | $190 | +$4.79 | 49% 4751-4896 (9647) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 68.9Β’ | $150.21 | $169.99 | +$19.78 | 56% 13220-10595 (23815) |
![]() machinelearned | Upavg 84.7Β’ | $127 | $150 | +$23 | 55% 8149-6600 (14749) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Upavg 92Β’ | $134.19 | $145.82 | +$11.63 | 46% 37365-43576 (80941) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 75.5Β’ | $102.33 | $135.6 | +$33.27 | 57% 11506-8544 (20050) |
![]() FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 72.4Β’ | $90.07 | $71.8 | -$18.27 | 56% 11976-9233 (21209) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 83.5Β’ | $71.32 | $79.67 | +$8.35 | 60% 11681-7645 (19326) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 83.4Β’ | $53.4 | $64 | +$10.6 | 49% 76564-79653 (156217) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 48Β’ | $54.39 | β | -$54.39 | 66% 97589-50155 (147744) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 95.2Β’ | $54.74 | $49 | -$5.74 | 55% 6891-5655 (12546) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 70Β’ | $37.35 | $50 | +$12.65 | 55% 23390-18954 (42344) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 86.2Β’ | $43.15 | $50.06 | +$6.91 | 55% 16647-13358 (30005) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $11.1 | $15 | +$3.9 | 65% 121312-64687 (185999) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 46Β’ | $4.62 | β | -$4.62 | 58% 50116-36275 (86391) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.5Β’ | $1.15 | β | -$1.15 | 52% 87991-82424 (170415) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100 | Downavg 4Β’ | $2.4 | β | -$2.4 | 57% 9895-7391 (17286) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | β | β | +$0 | 56% 3586-2782 (6368) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $13.5 | β | +$3 | 65% 20166-10990 (31156) |
Invested
$500
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$510.51
Record
51%
331-323 (654)
Invested
$317.35
Value
$354.59
PnL
+$37.24
Record
56%
7196-5567 (12763)
Invested
$224.48
Value
$447.77
PnL
+$223.29
Record
59%
36998-26188 (63186)
Invested
$185.21
Value
$190
PnL
+$4.79
Record
49%
4751-4896 (9647)
Invested
$150.21
Value
$169.99
PnL
+$19.78
Record
56%
13220-10595 (23815)
machinelearnedInvested
$127
Value
$150
PnL
+$23
Record
55%
8149-6600 (14749)
pspspsps5Invested
$134.19
Value
$145.82
PnL
+$11.63
Record
46%
37365-43576 (80941)
Invested
$102.33
Value
$135.6
PnL
+$33.27
Record
57%
11506-8544 (20050)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$90.07
Value
$71.8
PnL
-$18.27
Record
56%
11976-9233 (21209)
Invested
$71.32
Value
$79.67
PnL
+$8.35
Record
60%
11681-7645 (19326)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$53.4
Value
$64
PnL
+$10.6
Record
49%
76564-79653 (156217)
Invested
$54.39
Value
β
PnL
-$54.39
Record
66%
97589-50155 (147744)
Invested
$54.74
Value
$49
PnL
-$5.74
Record
55%
6891-5655 (12546)
Invested
$37.35
Value
$50
PnL
+$12.65
Record
55%
23390-18954 (42344)
Invested
$43.15
Value
$50.06
PnL
+$6.91
Record
55%
16647-13358 (30005)
Invested
$11.1
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.9
Record
65%
121312-64687 (185999)
Invested
$4.62
Value
β
PnL
-$4.62
Record
58%
50116-36275 (86391)
Invested
$1.15
Value
β
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
87991-82424 (170415)
Invested
$2.4
Value
β
PnL
-$2.4
Record
57%
9895-7391 (17286)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3586-2782 (6368)
Invested
$13.5
Value
β
PnL
+$3
Record
65%
20166-10990 (31156)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Telawin
Up β $1.0K
wzbbb
Up β $354.59
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $447.77
ply-pm0
Up β $190
GoodFallen
Up β $169.99

machinelearned
Up β $150

pspspsps5
Up β $145.82
EZTRADENL2
Up β $135.6

FairValueMachine
Up β $71.8
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up β $79.67