Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 32% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Down 35%
$5.4K
$-3.6K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 28 top traders (32%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.7K | $3.7K | +$3.73 | 84% 56537-10415 (66952) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Upavg 81.1¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 56% 7196-5567 (12763) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 29.9¢ | $443.18 | — | -$443.18 | 55% 8149-6600 (14749) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Upavg 53.2¢ | $571.28 | — | -$571.28 | 49% 4751-4896 (9647) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 72.5¢ | $549.57 | — | -$549.57 | 56% 13220-10595 (23815) |
 FairValueMachineCTR | Upavg 71.5¢ | $335.28 | — | -$335.28 | 56% 11976-9233 (21209) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Upavg 64.5¢ | $250.46 | — | -$250.46 | 57% 11506-8544 (20050) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 42.7¢ | $299.59 | $393.5 | +$95.46 | 60% 11681-7645 (19326) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR | Upavg 51.6¢ | $143.25 | — | -$143.25 | 57% 9895-7391 (17286) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 50.6¢ | $141.6 | $280 | +$138.4 | 66% 97589-50155 (147744) |
AN antsaslykuCTR | Upavg 68.9¢ | $102.25 | — | -$102.25 | 66% 110197-56555 (166752) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR | Upavg 93.5¢ | $148.31 | — | -$148.31 | 55% 6891-5655 (12546) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Upavg 73.3¢ | $71.59 | — | -$71.59 | 55% 23390-18954 (42344) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 87¢ | $260.49 | $237.32 | -$23.17 | 55% 42983-35443 (78426) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $72.18 | — | -$72.18 | 59% 36998-26188 (63186) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 55.6¢ | $340.71 | $612.65 | +$271.94 | 78% 9161-2651 (11812) |
HO hoodquantCTR<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $47.53 | — | -$47.53 | 93% 21872-1696 (23568) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 65.2¢ | $22.9 | — | -$22.9 | 55% 16647-13358 (30005) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 85.5¢ | $23.82 | — | -$23.82 | 49% 76564-79653 (156217) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $37.13 | — | -$37.13 | 56% 57139-44178 (101317) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 71.7¢ | $37.8 | — | -$37.8 | 65% 20166-10990 (31156) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 16.5¢ | $21.92 | $72.3 | +$50.39 | 52% 87991-82424 (170415) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $82.89 | $79.49 | -$3.4 | 63% 49745-29472 (79217) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $2.93 | $26.6 | +$23.67 | 46% 37365-43576 (80941) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $4.9 | $5.33 | +$0.43 | 65% 3717-2005 (5722) |
Invested
$3,724.28
Value
$3.7K
PnL
+$3.73
Record
84%
56537-10415 (66952)
Invested
$1,358.74
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
56%
7196-5567 (12763)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$443.18
Value
—
PnL
-$443.18
Record
55%
8149-6600 (14749)
Invested
$571.28
Value
—
PnL
-$571.28
Record
49%
4751-4896 (9647)
Invested
$549.57
Value
—
PnL
-$549.57
Record
56%
13220-10595 (23815)
FairValueMachineCTRInvested
$335.28
Value
—
PnL
-$335.28
Record
56%
11976-9233 (21209)
Invested
$250.46
Value
—
PnL
-$250.46
Record
57%
11506-8544 (20050)
Invested
$299.59
Value
$393.5
PnL
+$95.46
Record
60%
11681-7645 (19326)
Invested
$143.25
Value
—
PnL
-$143.25
Record
57%
9895-7391 (17286)
Invested
$141.6
Value
$280
PnL
+$138.4
Record
66%
97589-50155 (147744)
Invested
$102.25
Value
—
PnL
-$102.25
Record
66%
110197-56555 (166752)
Invested
$148.31
Value
—
PnL
-$148.31
Record
55%
6891-5655 (12546)
Invested
$71.59
Value
—
PnL
-$71.59
Record
55%
23390-18954 (42344)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$260.49
Value
$237.32
PnL
-$23.17
Record
55%
42983-35443 (78426)
Invested
$72.18
Value
—
PnL
-$72.18
Record
59%
36998-26188 (63186)
NIULAI4Invested
$340.71
Value
$612.65
PnL
+$271.94
Record
78%
9161-2651 (11812)
Invested
$47.53
Value
—
PnL
-$47.53
Record
93%
21872-1696 (23568)
Invested
$22.9
Value
—
PnL
-$22.9
Record
55%
16647-13358 (30005)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$23.82
Value
—
PnL
-$23.82
Record
49%
76564-79653 (156217)
Invested
$37.13
Value
—
PnL
-$37.13
Record
56%
57139-44178 (101317)
Invested
$37.8
Value
—
PnL
-$37.8
Record
65%
20166-10990 (31156)
Invested
$21.92
Value
$72.3
PnL
+$50.39
Record
52%
87991-82424 (170415)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$82.89
Value
$79.49
PnL
-$3.4
Record
63%
49745-29472 (79217)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$2.93
Value
$26.6
PnL
+$23.67
Record
46%
37365-43576 (80941)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5.33
PnL
+$0.43
Record
65%
3717-2005 (5722)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.7K
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
machinelearned
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm0
CTRUp — $0
GoodFallen
CTRUp — $0
FairValueMachine
CTRUp — $0
EZTRADENL2
CTRUp — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $393.5
trdyugiolkw
CTRUp — $0
Bonereaper
Down — $280