Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 74%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.4K

Combined PnL

$1.7K

Smart Money Signal

17 of 24 top traders (71%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up17 traders

Total Value$4.1K

Total Shares4,067

Combined PnL+$1.8K

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares353

Combined PnL-$120.53

Up — 71%Down — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 49¢	$864.02	$1.8K	+$900.82	59% 36998-26188 (63186)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 50.5¢	$227.09	$450	+$222.91	66% 97589-50155 (147744)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 69.5¢	$197.57	$214.95	+$17.39	49% 4751-4896 (9647)
PB PBot-6	Upavg 43.3¢	$151.19	$349.3	+$198.11	58% 50116-36275 (86391)
WZ wzbbbARB<$100	Downavg 27¢	$278.48	$111	-$167.48	56% 7196-5567 (12763)
└ Up leg	Upavg 89¢	$98.79	$111	+$12.21
└ Down leg	Downavg 27¢	$179.69	—	-$179.69
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 77.2¢	$177.19	$201.04	+$25.55	60% 11681-7645 (19326)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 49.1¢	$147.35	$300	+$152.65	48% 22322-23966 (46288)
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Upavg 73.2¢	$174.08	$129.4	-$44.67	56% 13220-10595 (23815)
└ Up leg	Upavg 73.2¢	$94.74	$129.4	+$34.66
└ Down leg	Downavg 25.4¢	$79.34	—	-$79.34
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 55.6¢	$128.4	$210.01	+$81.61	57% 11506-8544 (20050)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 58.9¢	$94.01	$108.92	+$14.91	56% 11976-9233 (21209)
machinelearnedARB<$100	Upavg 66.7¢	$66.31	$73.53	+$7.22	55% 8149-6600 (14749)
└ Up leg	Upavg 66.7¢	$49.07	$73.53	+$24.45
└ Down leg	Downavg 14¢	$17.23	—	-$17.23
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 58¢	$63.5	$90.23	+$26.73	55% 16647-13358 (30005)
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100	Downavg 53.2¢	$60	—	-$60	57% 9895-7391 (17286)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 98.2¢	$57.5	$58.57	+$1.07	63% 49745-29472 (79217)
GA gansinimen<$100	Upavg 49¢	$48.99	$99.99	+$50.99	51% 16818-16451 (33269)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 47.9¢	$26.53	$55.43	+$28.9	55% 23390-18954 (42344)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 44.3¢	$29.99	$67.68	+$37.69	66% 110197-56555 (166752)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$30.6	—	-$30.6	65% 121312-64687 (185999)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 62.2¢	$21.79	$35.03	+$13.24	65% 20166-10990 (31156)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 64¢	$19.5	$30.47	+$10.97	51% 19428-18654 (38082)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 16.3¢	$7.64	—	-$7.64	49% 76564-79653 (156217)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 63¢	$13.23	$21	+$7.77	55% 42983-35443 (78426)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 16.9¢	$8.61	—	-$8.61	52% 87991-82424 (170415)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 11.2¢	$6.43	—	-$6.43	46% 37365-43576 (80941)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100	Downavg 13¢	$7.25	—	-$7.25	55% 6891-5655 (12546)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$864.02

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$900.82

Record

59%

36998-26188 (63186)

Bonereaper

Invested

$227.09

Value

$450

PnL

+$222.91

Record

66%

97589-50155 (147744)

ply-pm0

Invested

$197.57

Value

$214.95

PnL

+$17.39

Record

49%

4751-4896 (9647)

PBot-6

Invested

$151.19

Value

$349.3

PnL

+$198.11

Record

58%

50116-36275 (86391)

wzbbbARB<$100

Down

Invested

$278.48

Value

$111

PnL

-$167.48

Record

56%

7196-5567 (12763)

Both legs:

Up$98.7989¢+$12.21

Down$179.6927¢-$179.69

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$177.19

Value

$201.04

PnL

+$25.55

Record

60%

11681-7645 (19326)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$147.35

Value

$300

PnL

+$152.65

Record

48%

22322-23966 (46288)

GoodFallenARB<$100

Invested

$174.08

Value

$129.4

PnL

-$44.67

Record

56%

13220-10595 (23815)

Both legs:

Up$94.7473.2¢+$34.66

Down$79.3425.4¢-$79.34

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$128.4

Value

$210.01

PnL

+$81.61

Record

57%

11506-8544 (20050)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$94.01

Value

$108.92

PnL

+$14.91

Record

56%

11976-9233 (21209)

machinelearnedARB<$100

Invested

$66.31

Value

$73.53

PnL

+$7.22

Record

55%

8149-6600 (14749)

Both legs:

Up$49.0766.7¢+$24.45

Down$17.2314¢-$17.23

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$63.5

Value

$90.23

PnL

+$26.73

Record

55%

16647-13358 (30005)

trdyugiolkwCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$60

Value

—

PnL

-$60

Record

57%

9895-7391 (17286)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$57.5

Value

$58.57

PnL

+$1.07

Record

63%

49745-29472 (79217)

gansinimen<$100

Invested

$48.99

Value

$99.99

PnL

+$50.99

Record

51%

16818-16451 (33269)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$26.53

Value

$55.43

PnL

+$28.9

Record

55%

23390-18954 (42344)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$29.99

Value

$67.68

PnL

+$37.69

Record

66%

110197-56555 (166752)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$30.6

Value

—

PnL

-$30.6

Record

65%

121312-64687 (185999)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$21.79

Value

$35.03

PnL

+$13.24

Record

65%

20166-10990 (31156)

devonpoll<$100

Invested

$19.5

Value

$30.47

PnL

+$10.97

Record

51%

19428-18654 (38082)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$7.64

Value

—

PnL

-$7.64

Record

49%

76564-79653 (156217)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$13.23

Value

$21

PnL

+$7.77

Record

55%

42983-35443 (78426)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$8.61

Value

—

PnL

-$8.61

Record

52%

87991-82424 (170415)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$6.43

Value

—

PnL

-$6.43

Record

46%

37365-43576 (80941)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$7.25

Value

—

PnL

-$7.25

Record

55%

6891-5655 (12546)

Smart Money Signal

17 of 24 top traders (71%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1a7cfd4e...a502b4

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793057700

Traders in this Market

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $1.8K

+$900.82

Bonereaper

Up — $450

+$222.91

ply-pm0

Up — $214.95

+$17.39

PBot-6

Up — $349.3

+$198.11

wzbbb

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$167.48

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $201.04

+$25.55

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $300

+$152.65

GoodFallen

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$44.67

EZTRADENL2

Up — $210.01

+$81.61

FairValueMachine

Up — $108.92

+$14.91

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