Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Down 72%
$3.3K
-$184.55
Smart Money Signal
22 of 30 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 90.2¢ | $835.65 | $847.75 | +$12.1 | 56% 7167-5546 (12713) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 93.2¢ | $580.99 | $569.87 | -$11.13 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
AC ACETONE999MECTR | Upavg 51.1¢ | $396.86 | — | -$396.86 | 62% 83-51 (134) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 78¢ | $198.46 | $254.34 | +$55.88 | 57% 11465-8497 (19962) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 85.5¢ | $194.41 | $220 | +$25.59 | 55% 8130-6582 (14712) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 51.9¢ | $205.22 | $395.44 | +$190.22 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 87.2¢ | $162.98 | $165.56 | +$2.58 | 49% 4731-4878 (9609) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Upavg 37.4¢ | $103.96 | — | -$103.96 | 66% 97209-49787 (146996) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 85.8¢ | $97.17 | $109.76 | +$12.6 | 60% 11663-7629 (19292) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95.9¢ | $94.31 | $98.38 | +$4.07 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 71.4¢ | $82.98 | $94.21 | +$11.23 | 55% 13162-10567 (23729) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 95.7¢ | $83.56 | $83.93 | +$0.37 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 84.9¢ | $69.26 | $75.21 | +$5.95 | 55% 6879-5633 (12512) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97.1¢ | $55.48 | $57.12 | +$1.64 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100 | Downavg 92.6¢ | $59.04 | $50.33 | -$8.71 | 62% 27951-17392 (45343) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92.2¢ | $38.33 | $41.56 | +$3.23 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $31.32 | $50.02 | +$18.7 | 58% 49959-36097 (86056) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $33 | $37.08 | +$4.08 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $26.4 | $30 | +$3.6 | 56% 11950-9222 (21172) |
VE Vega7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.4¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 75% 2940-993 (3933) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $34.48 | $44.78 | +$10.3 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $22.97 | $29.08 | +$6.11 | 57% 9873-7375 (17248) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $12.46 | $14 | +$1.54 | 55% 23059-18642 (41701) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $12.9 | $13.58 | +$0.68 | 49% 21579-22285 (43864) |
SE seeeeeebCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $5.46 | — | -$5.46 | 50% 575-583 (1158) |
Invested
$835.65
Value
$847.75
PnL
+$12.1
Record
56%
7167-5546 (12713)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$580.99
Value
$569.87
PnL
-$11.13
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$396.86
Value
—
PnL
-$396.86
Record
62%
83-51 (134)
Invested
$198.46
Value
$254.34
PnL
+$55.88
Record
57%
11465-8497 (19962)
machinelearnedInvested
$194.41
Value
$220
PnL
+$25.59
Record
55%
8130-6582 (14712)
Invested
$205.22
Value
$395.44
PnL
+$190.22
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
Invested
$162.98
Value
$165.56
PnL
+$2.58
Record
49%
4731-4878 (9609)
Invested
$103.96
Value
—
PnL
-$103.96
Record
66%
97209-49787 (146996)
Invested
$97.17
Value
$109.76
PnL
+$12.6
Record
60%
11663-7629 (19292)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$94.31
Value
$98.38
PnL
+$4.07
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
Invested
$82.98
Value
$94.21
PnL
+$11.23
Record
55%
13162-10567 (23729)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$83.56
Value
$83.93
PnL
+$0.37
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Invested
$69.26
Value
$75.21
PnL
+$5.95
Record
55%
6879-5633 (12512)
Invested
$55.48
Value
$57.12
PnL
+$1.64
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
Invested
$59.04
Value
$50.33
PnL
-$8.71
Record
62%
27951-17392 (45343)
Invested
$38.33
Value
$41.56
PnL
+$3.23
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$31.32
Value
$50.02
PnL
+$18.7
Record
58%
49959-36097 (86056)
Invested
$33
Value
$37.08
PnL
+$4.08
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$26.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.6
Record
56%
11950-9222 (21172)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
75%
2940-993 (3933)
Invested
$34.48
Value
$44.78
PnL
+$10.3
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$22.97
Value
$29.08
PnL
+$6.11
Record
57%
9873-7375 (17248)
Invested
$12.46
Value
$14
PnL
+$1.54
Record
55%
23059-18642 (41701)
Invested
$12.9
Value
$13.58
PnL
+$0.68
Record
49%
21579-22285 (43864)
Invested
$5.46
Value
—
PnL
-$5.46
Record
50%
575-583 (1158)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down — $847.75
MayorMamdani
Down — $569.87
ACETONE999ME
CTRUp — $0
EZTRADENL2
Down — $254.34
machinelearned
Down — $220
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $395.44
ply-pm0
Down — $165.56
Bonereaper
CTRUp — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $109.76
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $98.38