Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
20
Up 74%
$10.2K
$46.86
Smart Money Signal
15 of 20 top traders (75%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $7.3K | $7.3K | +$7.29 | 84% 54680-10153 (64833) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$13.81 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Upavg 98.7Β’ | $230.87 | $234 | +$3.13 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 31.6Β’ | $135.99 | β | -$135.99 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
![]() machinelearned | Upavg 89.3Β’ | $328.46 | $364.28 | +$35.81 | 55% 8130-6582 (14712) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 85.7Β’ | $224.48 | $262 | +$37.52 | 56% 7167-5546 (12713) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $129.57 | $173 | +$43.43 | 66% 97209-49787 (146996) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 88.1Β’ | $109.7 | $100.66 | -$9.04 | 49% 4731-4878 (9609) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 89Β’ | $94.06 | $105.68 | +$11.62 | 58% 11888-8697 (20585) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 21.9Β’ | $15.83 | β | -$15.83 | 57% 11465-8497 (19962) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $33.29 | $50 | +$16.71 | 55% 13162-10567 (23729) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 62.2Β’ | $19.2 | $30.73 | +$11.53 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 81.9Β’ | $48.97 | $59.76 | +$10.79 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $37.53 | $44 | +$6.47 | 60% 11663-7629 (19292) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 92Β’ | $40.48 | $44 | +$3.52 | 55% 6879-5633 (12512) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91.3Β’ | $38.67 | $42.33 | +$3.66 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Downavg 1Β’ | $285.47 | β | +$10.53 | 49% 21579-22285 (43864) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.4Β’ | $7.71 | β | -$7.71 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.4 | β | -$0.4 | 46% 37328-43529 (80857) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 56% 3580-2780 (6360) |
Invested
$7,278.73
Value
$7.3K
PnL
+$7.29
Record
84%
54680-10153 (64833)
Invested
$1,357.19
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$13.81
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$230.87
Value
$234
PnL
+$3.13
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$135.99
Value
β
PnL
-$135.99
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
machinelearnedInvested
$328.46
Value
$364.28
PnL
+$35.81
Record
55%
8130-6582 (14712)
Invested
$224.48
Value
$262
PnL
+$37.52
Record
56%
7167-5546 (12713)
Invested
$129.57
Value
$173
PnL
+$43.43
Record
66%
97209-49787 (146996)
Invested
$109.7
Value
$100.66
PnL
-$9.04
Record
49%
4731-4878 (9609)
Invested
$94.06
Value
$105.68
PnL
+$11.62
Record
58%
11888-8697 (20585)
Invested
$15.83
Value
β
PnL
-$15.83
Record
57%
11465-8497 (19962)
Invested
$33.29
Value
$50
PnL
+$16.71
Record
55%
13162-10567 (23729)
Invested
$19.2
Value
$30.73
PnL
+$11.53
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$48.97
Value
$59.76
PnL
+$10.79
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
Invested
$37.53
Value
$44
PnL
+$6.47
Record
60%
11663-7629 (19292)
Invested
$40.48
Value
$44
PnL
+$3.52
Record
55%
6879-5633 (12512)
Invested
$38.67
Value
$42.33
PnL
+$3.66
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$285.47
Value
β
PnL
+$10.53
Record
49%
21579-22285 (43864)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.71
Value
β
PnL
-$7.71
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
β
PnL
-$0.4
Record
46%
37328-43529 (80857)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3580-2780 (6360)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up β $7.3K
hoodquant
Up β $1.4K

MayorMamdani
Up β $234
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0

machinelearned
Up β $364.28
wzbbb
Up β $262
Bonereaper
Up β $173
ply-pm0
Up β $100.66
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $105.68
EZTRADENL2
CTRDown β $0