Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 88%
$7.7K
$414.02
Smart Money Signal
22 of 25 top traders (88%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR arcsine-barrister | Down | $5.0K | $5.0K | +$3.78 | 56% 3580-2780 (6360) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 78.7¢ | $500.15 | $537 | +$36.85 | 56% 7167-5546 (12713) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 86.3¢ | $228.57 | $225.24 | -$3.33 | 49% 4731-4878 (9609) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 47.6¢ | $171.31 | $359.7 | +$188.4 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 88¢ | $168.67 | $191.67 | +$23 | 55% 48631-39531 (88162) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 91¢ | $188.71 | $207.27 | +$18.57 | 46% 37328-43529 (80857) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 70¢ | $105.13 | $150.19 | +$45.06 | 67% 22388-11204 (33592) |
ST std0 | Downavg 84.8¢ | $123.75 | $137.36 | +$13.61 | 67% 52231-25955 (78186) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 80.3¢ | $124.19 | $150 | +$25.81 | 55% 23059-18642 (41701) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 81.3¢ | $100.52 | $122.62 | +$22.1 | 55% 6879-5633 (12512) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 79.7¢ | $99.16 | $93 | -$6.16 | 60% 11663-7629 (19292) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 63.7¢ | $92.03 | $95.31 | +$3.28 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $83.91 | $90.01 | +$6.1 | 55% 13162-10567 (23729) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $58.74 | $61.48 | +$2.74 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $62.46 | $69 | +$6.54 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 89.3¢ | $43.81 | $45.38 | +$1.57 | 55% 8130-6582 (14712) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $30.6 | $34 | +$3.4 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $17.28 | $34 | +$16.72 | 66% 97209-49787 (146996) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 62.5¢ | $12.57 | $20.1 | +$7.53 | 56% 11950-9222 (21172) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $16.72 | $17.98 | +$1.26 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $20.25 | $28.93 | +$8.68 | 65% 3701-1998 (5699) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $13.8 | $14.08 | +$0.28 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 51% 19388-18619 (38007) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.5¢ | $3.66 | — | -$3.66 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 57% 9873-7375 (17248) |
Invested
$4,995
Value
$5.0K
PnL
+$3.78
Record
56%
3580-2780 (6360)
Invested
$500.15
Value
$537
PnL
+$36.85
Record
56%
7167-5546 (12713)
Invested
$228.57
Value
$225.24
PnL
-$3.33
Record
49%
4731-4878 (9609)
Invested
$171.31
Value
$359.7
PnL
+$188.4
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
Invested
$168.67
Value
$191.67
PnL
+$23
Record
55%
48631-39531 (88162)
pspspsps5Invested
$188.71
Value
$207.27
PnL
+$18.57
Record
46%
37328-43529 (80857)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$105.13
Value
$150.19
PnL
+$45.06
Record
67%
22388-11204 (33592)
Invested
$123.75
Value
$137.36
PnL
+$13.61
Record
67%
52231-25955 (78186)
Invested
$124.19
Value
$150
PnL
+$25.81
Record
55%
23059-18642 (41701)
Invested
$100.52
Value
$122.62
PnL
+$22.1
Record
55%
6879-5633 (12512)
Invested
$99.16
Value
$93
PnL
-$6.16
Record
60%
11663-7629 (19292)
Invested
$92.03
Value
$95.31
PnL
+$3.28
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
Invested
$83.91
Value
$90.01
PnL
+$6.1
Record
55%
13162-10567 (23729)
Invested
$58.74
Value
$61.48
PnL
+$2.74
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$62.46
Value
$69
PnL
+$6.54
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$43.81
Value
$45.38
PnL
+$1.57
Record
55%
8130-6582 (14712)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$30.6
Value
$34
PnL
+$3.4
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$17.28
Value
$34
PnL
+$16.72
Record
66%
97209-49787 (146996)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$12.57
Value
$20.1
PnL
+$7.53
Record
56%
11950-9222 (21172)
Invested
$16.72
Value
$17.98
PnL
+$1.26
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$20.25
Value
$28.93
PnL
+$8.68
Record
65%
3701-1998 (5699)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.8
Value
$14.08
PnL
+$0.28
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
51%
19388-18619 (38007)
Invested
$3.66
Value
—
PnL
-$3.66
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
57%
9873-7375 (17248)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
arcsine-barrister
Down — $5.0K
wzbbb
Down — $537
ply-pm0
Down — $225.24
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $359.7
mo-money
Down — $191.67
pspspsps5
Down — $207.27
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $150.19
std0
Down — $137.36
sir-upalot
Down — $150
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $122.62