Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 95% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 95%
$9.2K
$370.6
Smart Money Signal
18 of 19 top traders (95%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR arcsine-barrister | Up | $4.4K | $4.4K | +$0.68 | 56% 3580-2780 (6360) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 89.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$121.05 | 56% 7167-5546 (12713) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.5¢ | $883.45 | $905.99 | +$22.54 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 98.5¢ | $534.96 | $543.1 | +$8.14 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 97.1¢ | $417.22 | $405.02 | -$12.2 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 96.5¢ | $362 | $375 | +$13 | 55% 8130-6582 (14712) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 97.2¢ | $281.65 | $289.69 | +$8.04 | 46% 37328-43529 (80857) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 80.3¢ | $162.93 | $170.14 | +$7.22 | 49% 4731-4878 (9609) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 51¢ | $75.48 | $148 | +$72.52 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 54¢ | $68.84 | $121 | +$52.16 | 66% 97209-49787 (146996) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 59.1¢ | $52.11 | $75.63 | +$23.52 | 60% 11663-7629 (19292) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Upavg 58.9¢ | $51.82 | $88 | +$36.18 | 57% 11465-8497 (19962) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $63.05 | $65 | +$1.95 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 59.3¢ | $43.77 | $73.8 | +$30.03 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
ST std0<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 | 67% 52231-25955 (78186) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $35.24 | $33.46 | -$1.78 | 55% 6879-5633 (12512) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $9.86 | — | -$9.86 | 55% 23059-18642 (41701) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $15.39 | $11 | -$4.39 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $8.2 | $10 | +$1.8 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
Invested
$4,447.85
Value
$4.4K
PnL
+$0.68
Record
56%
3580-2780 (6360)
Invested
$1,256.07
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$121.05
Record
56%
7167-5546 (12713)
Invested
$883.45
Value
$905.99
PnL
+$22.54
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$534.96
Value
$543.1
PnL
+$8.14
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$417.22
Value
$405.02
PnL
-$12.2
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
machinelearnedInvested
$362
Value
$375
PnL
+$13
Record
55%
8130-6582 (14712)
pspspsps5Invested
$281.65
Value
$289.69
PnL
+$8.04
Record
46%
37328-43529 (80857)
Invested
$162.93
Value
$170.14
PnL
+$7.22
Record
49%
4731-4878 (9609)
Invested
$75.48
Value
$148
PnL
+$72.52
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
Invested
$68.84
Value
$121
PnL
+$52.16
Record
66%
97209-49787 (146996)
Invested
$52.11
Value
$75.63
PnL
+$23.52
Record
60%
11663-7629 (19292)
Invested
$51.82
Value
$88
PnL
+$36.18
Record
57%
11465-8497 (19962)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$63.05
Value
$65
PnL
+$1.95
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Invested
$43.77
Value
$73.8
PnL
+$30.03
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$35
Value
$35
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
52231-25955 (78186)
Invested
$35.24
Value
$33.46
PnL
-$1.78
Record
55%
6879-5633 (12512)
Invested
$9.86
Value
—
PnL
-$9.86
Record
55%
23059-18642 (41701)
Invested
$15.39
Value
$11
PnL
-$4.39
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$8.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.8
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
arcsine-barrister
Up — $4.4K
wzbbb
Up — $1.4K
hoodquant
Up — $905.99
MayorMamdani
Up — $543.1
thesidehustle
Up — $405.02
machinelearned
Up — $375
pspspsps5
Up — $289.69
ply-pm0
Up — $170.14
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $148
Bonereaper
Up — $121